Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Milwaukee Brewers will try to make it three in a row when they face the Pittsburgh Pirates in the final game of a four-game series. Fans can follow the action at American Family Field once the game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. EST on MLB.TV.
It has been a relatively low-scoring series so far, with the Pirates winning the opener on Monday, 4-3. But the Brewers took the game yesterday and Tuesday by the same score, 4-2.
The newly acquired Dustin May is scheduled to make his first start for the Brewers. His season stats aren’t encouraging. May is 5-7 in 21 starts with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. But he pitched five shutout innings in his last start for the Cardinals and allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.
As for Pittsburgh, the Pirates are scheduled to give Braxton Ashcroft the start. Ashcroft is 11-4 in 22 starts with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. On the road, he has gone 6-3 in 11 starts with a 4.02 ERA and a .242 OBA. He did not do so well in his last start against the Brewers (July 11); he pitched five innings, gave up five hits and five runs with two walks and six strikeouts.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.627 | 118 | 74 | 44 |
|
20
|
0.483 | 120 | 58 | 62 |
Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 5, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 5, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 2, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 5, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 29, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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Milwaukee Brewers against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Aug 5, 2026 - MLB
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Milwaukee Brewers - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- Milwaukee leads the all-time series vs. their NL Central division rivals, the Pirates.
- The Brewers are 34-25 ATS (run line) at home; the Pirates are 29-30 ATS (run line) on the road.
- The Over is 25-34 for the Brewers at home and 27-29-4 for the Pirates on the road.
- Betting Public: 51% of total tickets and 49% of the handle are on the UNDER.
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Our Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I’ve been quick to bet against Dustin May this season, but there can be no denying it— he’s pitched well in recent games. Of course, the same is true for Ashcroft. The Brewers are hitting .211 over the last week, and the Pirates are just .198. There is no reason to think that either lineup will explode against the other’s starting pitcher. For that reason, I have to go with the trend in this series and take the UNDER.
Our Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Pick: UNDER 7.5
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.