Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8/6/26 14:10
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

UNDER 7.5

-105
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers will try to make it three in a row when they face the Pittsburgh Pirates in the final game of a four-game series. Fans can follow the action at American Family Field once the game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. EST on MLB.TV.

It has been a relatively low-scoring series so far, with the Pirates winning the opener on Monday, 4-3. But the Brewers took the game yesterday and Tuesday by the same score, 4-2.

The newly acquired Dustin May is scheduled to make his first start for the Brewers. His season stats aren’t encouraging. May is 5-7 in 21 starts with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. But he pitched five shutout innings in his last start for the Cardinals and allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.

As for Pittsburgh, the Pirates are scheduled to give Braxton Ashcroft the start. Ashcroft is 11-4 in 22 starts with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. On the road, he has gone 6-3 in 11 starts with a 4.02 ERA and a .242 OBA. He did not do so well in his last start against the Brewers (July 11); he pitched five innings, gave up five hits and five runs with two walks and six strikeouts.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
1 Milwaukee Brewers
0.627 118 74 44
20 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.483 120 58 62

Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 5, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 4, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 3, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 2, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  0
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 1, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
1 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 31, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 5, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 4, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 3, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
11 :  2
Colorado Rockies

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  5
Colorado Rockies

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  5
Colorado Rockies
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 2, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  0
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 1, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
1 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 31, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 29, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
16 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 28, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
2 :  8
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 27, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  0
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 5, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 4, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 3, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 2, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
10 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 1, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 31, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 29, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 28, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  8
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 27, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  7
Chicago Cubs

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  11
Chicago Cubs

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  3
Chicago Cubs
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 5, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 4, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 3, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 2, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
10 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 1, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 31, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Milwaukee Brewers against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

Milwaukee Brewers

33 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

67 %

Aug 5, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 4, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 3, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 12, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
14 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 11, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 11, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks

Milwaukee Brewers - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. Milwaukee leads the all-time series vs. their NL Central division rivals, the Pirates.
  2. The Brewers are 34-25 ATS (run line) at home; the Pirates are 29-30 ATS (run line) on the road.
  3. The Over is 25-34 for the Brewers at home and 27-29-4 for the Pirates on the road.
  4. Betting Public: 51% of total tickets and 49% of the handle are on the UNDER.

Our Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

I’ve been quick to bet against Dustin May this season, but there can be no denying it— he’s pitched well in recent games. Of course, the same is true for Ashcroft. The Brewers are hitting .211 over the last week, and the Pirates are just .198. There is no reason to think that either lineup will explode against the other’s starting pitcher. For that reason, I have to go with the trend in this series and take the UNDER.

Our Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Pick: UNDER 7.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 7.5

-105
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