Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Miami Marlins, listed at +170 to cover -1.5 runs, will turn to Janson Junk to lead them to a comfortable win over the skidding Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 2.
Current Form:
The Miami Marlins have won their last 3 games, including a 2-0 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates in the series opener on Tuesday. It marked the second time in three games the Marlins did not allow a single run. As a result, Miami has lowered its ERA over the last five games to 2.45.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have lost 6 of their last 7 games and 8 of their last 10, keeping them at the bottom of the NL Central with a 58-63 record. Over the last five games, the Pirates have averaged 3.3 runs and pitched to a 4.81 ERA.
Starting Pitchers: Pirates RHP Carmen Mlodzinski (6-4, 3.51 ERA) vs. Marlins RHP Janson Junk (5-7, 4.63 ERA).
The Matchup: The Marlins have won 4 of their last 6 meetings with the Pirates. In these wins, Miami won by two runs or more three times.
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Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
0.504 | 119 | 60 | 59 |
|
20
|
0.483 | 120 | 58 | 62 |
Miami Marlins and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 11, 2026 - MLB
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Miami Marlins against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Aug 11, 2026 - MLB
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Jun 11, 2025 - MLB
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Miami Marlins - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- The Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- The Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- The Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- The Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
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Our Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
The Difference Maker: Janson Junk hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his last three starts and four of his last five outings.
The Pirates, who average 3.3 runs per game over their last five games, will need to bring their A-game if they want to steal this game.
Moreover, Pirates starting pitcher Carmen Mlodzinski will try to rebuild his confidence after surrendering 5 earned runs over 3.0 innings in a 4-6 loss to the Mets on August 7.
What to Expect: Junk delivers 6 solid innings, and the Marlins bullpen (3.32 ERA over the last 5 games) finishes the job in a convincing win over the Pirates.
Fearless Forecast: Miami 6, Pittsburgh 1
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. the Miami Marlins: The Marlins -1.5 RunsCaesars Rewards Program

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