Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Miami Marlins
3/27/25 16:10
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5.

-107
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 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

Bookmakers are already predicting a low-scoring game between the Pirates and Marlins on Thursday's Opening Day. The game, which will take place at Loan Depot Park, is likely to feature a pitching duel between last season's sensational rookie, Paul Skenes, for the Pirates, and 2022 Cy Young Award winner Sandy Alcantara, who has recovered from Tommy John surgery.

In the betting circles, ahead of Wheeler, Snell, and Sale, Skenes is the favorite to win the Cy Young Award this season, with odds around +300.

It appears that the Marlins, who in the past have been quite capable of finding and developing quality starting pitchers and relievers, will endure their offensive woes for another year with a non-threatening lineup that also includes their main players, Jesus Sanchez and Connor Norby, who will be out due to injury for Opening Day.

For a team that lost 100 games last season, facing Skenes as the starter doesn't seem ideal. Skenes finished last season with an impressive 11-3 record and a 1.96 ERA. Still, the Marlins will be relieved that the Pirates closed spring training on a low note, losing their last five games and scoring two or fewer runs in all of them.

Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
19 Miami Marlins
0.488 162 79 83
26 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Miami Marlins and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 28, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  8
Miami Marlins

Sep 19, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  20
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 18, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 17, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
11 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 14, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  1
Miami Marlins

Sep 13, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  1
Miami Marlins
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 19, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  20
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 18, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 17, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
11 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 8, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
10 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 6, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  16
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 5, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 28, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  8
Miami Marlins

Sep 14, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  1
Miami Marlins

Sep 13, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  1
Miami Marlins

Sep 10, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  4
Miami Marlins

Sep 9, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Miami Marlins

Aug 31, 2024 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  4
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 29, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 26, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 25, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  1
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 24, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 21, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 20, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 26, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 25, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  1
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 24, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 15, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Sep 13, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  8
Kansas City Royals

Sep 10, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  4
Miami Marlins
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 29, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 21, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 20, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 19, 2024 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
2 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 18, 2024 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
10 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 17, 2024 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
3 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Miami Marlins against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Marlins

40 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

60 %

Sep 10, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  4
Miami Marlins

Sep 9, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Miami Marlins

Sep 30, 2023 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  7
Miami Marlins

Jun 24, 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 23, 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Miami Marlins - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. 26-38-0 was the Marlins' home record as the betting underdogs in 2024
  2. Alcantara pitched four scoreless innings in Spring Training against the Astros on March 15
  3. Pirates haven't finished over .500 in any of their last six MLB seasons
  4. Pirates won their last eight games against the Marlins

Our Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Alcantara put up excellent numbers that have the Marlins excited after his return from Tommy John surgery. The Dominican ace pitched more than 12 scoreless innings in the Grapefruit League. Meanwhile, the Pirates' offense appears to have Reynolds as their strong man for another season, nothing Alcantara can't handle. A low-scoring pitching duel seems likely on Thursday. Our prediction for Pirates vs Marlins is: Under 6.5.

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5.

-107
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks