Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4/1/26 12:40
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5 Total Runs

-102
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

As part of the 15-game MLB slate on Wednesday, one of the games will feature an NL Central matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Reds and the Pirates.

Pittsburgh is off to a rough start this season, especially Paul Skenes, who is scheduled to make his second start of the season in this matchup. Skenes could not have had a worse 2026 debut, as he allowed five earned runs and failed to make it out of the first inning. As bad as he looked, Skenes should still be considered a top pitcher in the National League and should be able to bounce back here.

Cincinnati, on the other hand, has had a solid start to the season and will look to continue that with Andrew Abbott starting on Wednesday. Abbott will be making his second start of the season, coming off a 6.0-inning outing where he did not allow a run.

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
16 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.494 83 41 42
20 Cincinnati Reds
0.481 81 39 42

Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 29, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Mar 24, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  1
Cincinnati Reds
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 29, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Cincinnati Reds
11 :  7
Chicago White Sox
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Mar 24, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Milwaukee Brewers
9 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Cleveland Guardians
8 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Chicago Cubs
6 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Los Angeles Angels
7 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Mar 16, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Arizona Diamondbacks
11 :  6
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Mar 17, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  10
Houston Astros

Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  6
Baltimore Orioles
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Atlanta Braves
8 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Cincinnati Reds against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

Cincinnati Reds

50 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

50 %

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  14
Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. Skenes had an ERA of 0.00 vs Cincinnati in 2025
  2. Abbott had an ERA of 1.80 vs Pittsburgh in 2025
  3. Skenes had an ERA of 2.15 on the road in 2025
  4. Abbott had an ERA of 2.39 at home in 2025

Our Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Pittsburgh is the heavy favorite in this game; however, the under looks to be the best betting option. It is a fact that Skenes looked terrible in his first start, but that should not continue. Last season, Skenes was lights out against the Reds, posting an ERA of 0.00 against them, while also posting an ERA of 2.15 on the road.

Cincinnati’s Abbott, on the other hand, had an ERA of 1.80 against Pittsburgh in 2025 and an ERA of 2.39 at home. Given the splits shown by both starting pitchers last season, this game has the makings of a pitcher’s duel. For that reason, our Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction is: Under 7.5 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5 Total Runs

-102
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks