Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9/25/25 12:40
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-127
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 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

The Pirates, with their four-game winning streak, are spoiling the Reds' party, dropping them one game behind the Mets, tying them with the D-backs, and leaving them one game behind the New York team that holds the last Wild Card spot in the National League.

The Pirates won Game 1 and Game 2 of the series at Great American Ball Park against Cincinnati, allowing only four runs in Games 1 and 2. With this, the Reds have squandered a golden opportunity, as if they had won those two games against the last-place team in the NL Central, they would have been in the playoff picture right now, but that's not the case.

Oneil Cruz hit his 20th home run of the season in Game 1 against the Reds, making him the Pirates' home run leader, the team that hit the fewest home runs in 2025. In Game 2, they won without needing a home run, and the biggest star was Suwinski, who hit a pair of RBI doubles on Wednesday.

Wednesday was also an epic game for Skenes, as it marked his conclusion to the current season, in which he posted a sub-2.00 ERA and is sure to win the Cy Young Award.

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
13 Cincinnati Reds
0.512 162 83 79
26 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  0
Chicago Cubs

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  3
Chicago Cubs

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  4
Chicago Cubs

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  0
Chicago Cubs
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  0
Chicago Cubs

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  3
Chicago Cubs

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  4
Chicago Cubs

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  0
Chicago Cubs
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
2 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
3 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
6 :  11
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
7 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
11 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
3 :  0
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
11 :  0
Athletics

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  0
Athletics

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  4
Athletics

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  8
Chicago Cubs
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
11 :  0
Athletics

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  0
Athletics

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  4
Athletics

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  8
Chicago Cubs

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  4
Chicago Cubs

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  4
Chicago Cubs
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
6 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Cincinnati Reds against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

Cincinnati Reds

33 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

67 %

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  14
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 7, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. The Reds lost Games 1 and 2 of this series as betting favorites of -166 and -122
  2. The Pirates are worst in the MLB in collective SLG at .350
  3. The Pirates' collective pitching ERA is seventh-best in the MLB at 3.81
  4. The Pirates have won six of their last eight games against the Reds

Our Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

When the moment is pressing, Nick Lodolo, who will start Thursday's key game against the Pirates, has responded well, and his team needs him as the ace he is in a game with a lot at stake for Cincinnati. Lodolo has an 8-8 record with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP.

However, with little pressure, the Pirates are already eliminated, but also, like the Marlins, for example, are having a solid finish to the season. Braxton Ashcraft will pitch for the Pirates, returning to the starting role with surprisingly pleasing numbers this season: 65.1 IP, 2.62 ERA, and 66 strikeouts.

Our prediction for Pirates vs Reds is: Under 8.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-127
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks