Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Pittsburgh Pirates will be in Massachusetts this weekend for a three-game series with the Boston Red Sox. Game One of the series is scheduled for today in Fenway Park at 7:10 p.m. EST. Fans can watch the action unfold via the MLB Network. Boston comes into the series fresh off a four-game sweep of the Orioles in Baltimore to improve to 75-60. They are in firm control of a wild card spot but only 3.5 games back in the AL East. It’s been a rough season for the Pirates, who are 59-76, but they’ve been playing good baseball lately. While they lost their last game, 4-1 vs. the Cardinals, they’ve won seven of their last ten.
Pittsburgh will have a definite advantage on the mound. The Pirates are scheduled to start Paul Skenes, who is 8-9 in 27 starts with a 2.07 ERA, .94 WHIP, and .195 OBA. Skenes has gone 3-5 on the road in 14 starts with a 2.50 ERA and .201 OBA. As for Boston, the Red Sox are calling up Payton Tolle to start. Tolle is an imposing 6-foot-6, 250-pound player with a killer fastball. He is the No. 2 prospect in the Boston farm system and No. 28 in baseball. IN Triple-A, he’s pitched 15 innings (3.06 ERA) and struck out 17 while walking just two.
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Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
0.549 | 162 | 89 | 73 |
|
26
|
0.438 | 162 | 71 | 91 |
Boston Red Sox and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 28, 2025 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 19, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 6, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 28, 2025 - MLB
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
Aug 26, 2025 - MLB
Aug 25, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 23, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 28, 2025 - MLB
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 23, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 24, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 22, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 18, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 28, 2025 - MLB
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
Aug 26, 2025 - MLB
Aug 25, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 16, 2025 - MLB
Boston Red Sox against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
Apr 21, 2024 - MLB
Apr 20, 2024 - MLB
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Apr 3, 2023 - MLB
Boston Red Sox - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- Boston leads the all-time series vs. Pittsburgh 18-14.
- They swept the Pirates in Pittsburgh last year (3-0) but got swept the year before at home (0-3).
- Skenes gave up four earned runs in each of his last two road starts (vs. Milwaukee, Aug. 12; vs. Colorado, Aug. 2).
- Betting Public: 9% of TOTAL tickets and 10% of the handle are on the UNDER (8).
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I don’t see why the public is going so heavy on the OVER. Skenes is one of the best pitchers in baseball. His last two road starts were not great, but more often than not, he dominates opposing lineups. Boston is not hitting so well right now that there is reason to think the Red Sox will score much. If the Pirates had been hitting over .300 for the last week like the Rangers, I might be concerned about Boston’s rookie pitcher making his first MLB start. But his resume is good enough for me to believe he’ll be fine against a lackluster Pirates lineup.
Our Pirates vs. Red Sox Pick: UNDER 8
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