Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8/29/25 19:10
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8

-115
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be in Massachusetts this weekend for a three-game series with the Boston Red Sox. Game One of the series is scheduled for today in Fenway Park at 7:10 p.m. EST. Fans can watch the action unfold via the MLB Network. Boston comes into the series fresh off a four-game sweep of the Orioles in Baltimore to improve to 75-60. They are in firm control of a wild card spot but only 3.5 games back in the AL East. It’s been a rough season for the Pirates, who are 59-76, but they’ve been playing good baseball lately. While they lost their last game, 4-1 vs. the Cardinals, they’ve won seven of their last ten.

Pittsburgh will have a definite advantage on the mound. The Pirates are scheduled to start Paul Skenes, who is 8-9 in 27 starts with a 2.07 ERA, .94 WHIP, and .195 OBA. Skenes has gone 3-5 on the road in 14 starts with a 2.50 ERA and .201 OBA. As for Boston, the Red Sox are calling up Payton Tolle to start. Tolle is an imposing 6-foot-6, 250-pound player with a killer fastball. He is the No. 2 prospect in the Boston farm system and No. 28 in baseball. IN Triple-A, he’s pitched 15 innings (3.06 ERA) and struck out 17 while walking just two.

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Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
9 Boston Red Sox
0.549 162 89 73
26 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Boston Red Sox and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  12
Boston Red Sox
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  7
Kansas City Royals
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  12
Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
4 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
1 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
7 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  0
Colorado Rockies

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  1
Colorado Rockies
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  0
Colorado Rockies

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  1
Colorado Rockies

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  0
Colorado Rockies

Aug 20, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 18, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
4 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
1 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
7 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 17, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Boston Red Sox against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

Boston Red Sox

75 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

25 %

Apr 21, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Apr 20, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Apr 19, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  8
Boston Red Sox

Apr 3, 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Boston Red Sox - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. Boston leads the all-time series vs. Pittsburgh 18-14.
  2. They swept the Pirates in Pittsburgh last year (3-0) but got swept the year before at home (0-3).
  3. Skenes gave up four earned runs in each of his last two road starts (vs. Milwaukee, Aug. 12; vs. Colorado, Aug. 2).
  4. Betting Public: 9% of TOTAL tickets and 10% of the handle are on the UNDER (8).
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

I don’t see why the public is going so heavy on the OVER. Skenes is one of the best pitchers in baseball. His last two road starts were not great, but more often than not, he dominates opposing lineups. Boston is not hitting so well right now that there is reason to think the Red Sox will score much. If the Pirates had been hitting over .300 for the last week like the Rangers, I might be concerned about Boston’s rookie pitcher making his first MLB start. But his resume is good enough for me to believe he’ll be fine against a lackluster Pirates lineup.

Our Pirates vs. Red Sox Pick: UNDER 8

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8

-115
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Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks