Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
9/11/25 13:05
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

The Orioles -1.5 Runs

+137
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

After gutting out back-to-back extra-inning wins, the Baltimore Orioles will go for no less than a sweep in Thursday’s Game 3 with the Pittsburgh Pirates at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Listed as -151 favorites, the Orioles will be facing Pirates right-handed pitcher Johan Oviedo, who is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA after five starts.

Current Form:

The Orioles have won 4 of their last 5 games to improve their record to 68-77, last in the AL East division. Baltimore has posted a 2.06 ERA over their last five games, during which they have only surrendered a total of 9 runs. This fantastic form on the mound has tremendously helped the Orioles win games despite averaging just 2.6 runs per game over the last five games.

The Pirates have lost five games in a row, and that’s because they just could not score more than three runs in any one of their last five games. In this stretch, Pittsburgh has averaged a harrowing 1.5 runs per game on a .141 batting average. And although the Pirates’ pitching remains competitive at 3.91 ERA, the absence or lack of a reliable offense has significantly hurt this team not only in this five-game spell but throughout the season.

Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
24 Baltimore Orioles
0.463 162 75 87
26 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Baltimore Orioles and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  7
Baltimore Orioles
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  3
Boston Red Sox
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  7
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
13 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  11
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
15 :  8
Baltimore Orioles
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  10
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  10
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  7
Los Angeles Dodgers
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  10
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
4 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Baltimore Orioles against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

Baltimore Orioles

75 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

25 %

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 6, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 5, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
  2. Pittsburgh is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.
  3. Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
  4. Baltimore is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh.

Our Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Orioles should sweep the Pirates on Thursday, completing a three-game sweep. Baltimore’s offense isn’t good, but they are not as bad as the Pirates’ recent numbers at the plate. Left-handed pitcher Cade Povich is 1-4 with a 5.13 ERA across his last five starts. However, Povich will get an opportunity to shine on the mound in Game 3 as the Pirates are only hitting .217 with an average of 3.4 runs per game against lefties in the season and .067 with an average of 1.7 runs in their last five games against left-handed pitchers.

Pirates starter Johan Oviedo (2-3, 4.95 ERA in his last five starts) did not allow a single run over five innings in his last start against the Brewers on September 5, and yet the Pirates still lost the game by three runs because of a bad bullpen (4.30 ERA in the last five games) and a much worse offense.

Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. the Baltimore Orioles: the Orioles -1.5 Runs

Prediction:

 

The Orioles -1.5 Runs

+137
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Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks