Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks
A full 15-game MLB slate is scheduled for Friday, which will include a National League matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the Pittsburgh Pirates. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Braves and the Pirates.
Pittsburgh enters this game just a few games over .500, but is in third place in the NL Central. The Pirates are set to start Mitch Keller for Game 1 against the Braves, who has a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 4.35. The good news is that Keller has been much better on the road compared to at home, which suggests that he will be able to slow down the Braves’ prolific offense.
As for Atlanta, they continue to sit at the top of the standings in both the NL East and the MLB. The Braves just finished a series against the Toronto Blue Jays and are now scheduled to start Martin Perez for Game 1 of this series against the Pirates. Perez has a record of 3-3 this season with an ERA of 2.79. He has especially been lights out at home, casting doubt on the Pirates’ ability to do much against him.
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Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.682 | 66 | 45 | 21 |
|
13
|
0.515 | 66 | 34 | 32 |
Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jun 4, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 4, 2026 - MLB
Jun 3, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 31, 2026 - MLB
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May 29, 2026 - MLB
May 28, 2026 - MLB
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May 26, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jun 3, 2026 - MLB
Jun 2, 2026 - MLB
May 31, 2026 - MLB
May 30, 2026 - MLB
May 29, 2026 - MLB
May 28, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 31, 2026 - MLB
May 30, 2026 - MLB
May 29, 2026 - MLB
May 28, 2026 - MLB
May 27, 2026 - MLB
May 26, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 3, 2026 - MLB
Jun 2, 2026 - MLB
May 24, 2026 - MLB
May 23, 2026 - MLB
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May 21, 2026 - MLB
Atlanta Braves against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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Atlanta Braves - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- Mitch Keller has an ERA of 4.35 this season
- Mitch Keller has an ERA of 3.14 on the road this season
- Martin Perez has an ERA of 2.79 this season
- Martin Perez has an ERA of 0.82 at home this season
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Our Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
The Braves are the clear favorite in this game; however, the under looks to be the best betting option. While Keller’s overall numbers look below-average, his road starts have been more than serviceable. Across five away starts this season, Keller has allowed 10 earned runs over 28.2 innings. Perez, on the other hand, has made six appearances (three starts) at home this season, having allowed two earned runs over 22.0.
Note that while both offenses rank inside the top five in terms of runs per game, they both have starters that look capable of turning this game into a pitchers’ duel. For that reason, our Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction is: Under 8.5 Total Runs.A 2026 WC Welcome Bonus for Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
