Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Atlanta Braves
9/28/25 15:15
Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5 Runs

-108
$350 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Atlanta Braves and the Pittsburgh Pirates will duke it out in their final game of the season on Sunday at Truist Park.

In their last three meetings, the Braves and the Pirates have combined for an average of 7.6 runs per game. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.

Current Form:

The Braves have lost their last three games, including Saturday’s 1-3 loss to the Pirates in Game 2 of their series. Atlanta, which will finish this season at fourth place in the NL East, has averaged 4.4 runs per game and pitched to a 4.60 ERA in their last five games.

The Pirates have won four of their last five games, enhancing their record to 71-90. Although they remain one of the worst teams in the National League, Pittsburgh has shown through its 2025 MLB season that it has incredibly high potential, especially on the mound, where it has maintained a 3.76 ERA. Over the last five games, the Pirates have posted a 1.96 ERA and averaged 4.0 runs per game on a .243 BA.

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
23 Atlanta Braves
0.469 162 76 86
26 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Washington Nationals

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  2
Washington Nationals

Sep 22, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
11 :  5
Washington Nationals

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
2 :  6
Atlanta Braves
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Washington Nationals

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  2
Washington Nationals

Sep 22, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
11 :  5
Washington Nationals

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
8 :  3
Houston Astros
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
2 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
1 :  10
Atlanta Braves

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  9
Atlanta Braves

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  6
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
11 :  0
Athletics
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
11 :  0
Athletics

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  0
Athletics

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  4
Athletics

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  8
Chicago Cubs

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  4
Chicago Cubs

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  4
Chicago Cubs
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Atlanta Braves against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)

Atlanta Braves

17 %

Pittsburgh Pirates

83 %

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 11, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Atlanta Braves

May 10, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  3
Atlanta Braves

May 9, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Jun 30, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Atlanta Braves - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points

  1. The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games.
  2. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
  3. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games.
  4. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games against Pittsburgh.

Our Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The total went UNDER in 8 of the Pirates' last 10 head-to-head games against the Braves. For Sunday's game 3, the total has been set at 7.5 runs. Pittsburgh and Atlanta have combined for an average 6.30 runs per game in their last 10 meetings.

Pirates starter Johan Oviedo has carried a 3.55 ERA in his last five starts, while Braves starter Charlie Morton has posted an 11.65 ERA in his last five mound appearances. Morton reunited with the Braves roughly a week after allowing six earned runs over 1.1 innings against Atlanta, which marked his final start for the Tigers on September 19. The last time Morton faced the Pirates, he shut them down through 6.1 innings to help Atlanta earn 6-1 win on July 28, 2024. 

Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. the Atlanta Braves: the Under 7.0 Runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5 Runs

-108
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks