Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Atlanta Braves go head-to-head for their final series starting on Friday at Truist Park.
The Pirates, who have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Braves, are booked at +132 moneyline for Game 1.
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The Pirates’ four-game winning streak got snapped after losing to the Cincinnati Reds 1-2 in their series-finale on Thursday. Pittsburgh dropped t0 69-90, deadlast in the NL Central in the season. Over the last five games, the Pirates have boasted a 1.17 ERA and averaged 4.4 runs per game on a .234 batting average.
The Braves’ hot run came to an end at 10 games following a 3-4 loss to the Washington Nationals in their series finale on Wednesday. Atlanta’s recent streak pushes their record to 75-84, two games within the Miami Marlins (77-82) in the NL East standings. Atlanta has pitched to a 3.00 ERA while scoring almost 8 runs a game (7.5 runs per contest) in their last five assignments.
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Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23
|
0.469 | 162 | 76 | 86 |
|
26
|
0.438 | 162 | 71 | 91 |
Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Atlanta Braves against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
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Atlanta Braves - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- Atlanta is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh.
- Atlanta is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.
- Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- Pittsburgh is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
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Our Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Atlanta has been dominant against the Pirates at home in recent years, winning 17 of their last 20 games at Truist Park. The Braves are sending lefty Joey Wentz, who has pitched to a 6.14 ERA in his last five starts. Wentz’s numbers might not be eye-popping, but the Braves’ starter will get a rare chance to show his stuff against the Pirates’ offense, which has averaged 2.2 runs per game in their last 10 games against left-handed starters.
The Pirates have tapped RHP Mitch Keller, who will make his first start since squandering four earned runs in a 3-4 loss to the Athletics on September 19. Keller has posted a 3.58 ERA across his last five starts, but is only 1-2 with a 4.00 earned run average in his last three starts vs. the Braves, who are 8-2 against the spread in their previous 10 games.
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. the Atlanta Braves: the Braves -1.5 Runs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
