Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
12/23/25 16:00
Toronto Maple Leafs

Prediction:

 

Toronto to win

-140
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 by Bill Christy in NHL Picks

It will be the 3rd meeting of the season this Tuesday when the Pittsburgh Penguins (15-11-9) head into Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (15-15-5). So far, the Leafs have had their way in the season series. They lead 2 games to 0 and have outscored the Pens 11-5. However, 7 of those goals came in their latest meeting back in late November. Auston Matthews scored and assisted on a goal in each of their previous victories.

More recently, the Leafs have been struggling. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games, including 3 straight losses. In their last 3 losses, the Leafs have given up 14 goals and have struggled offensively, only scoring 4 goals total of their own. Dennis Hildeby is set to be in the net for the Leafs. That may not bode well for the Leafs as Hildeby has allowed a total of 17 goals over his last 4 starts.

For the Pens, things have been even worse. After winning their 1st two games of the month, they had lost 8 straight games before finally snapping that losing streak on Sunday. It took a shootout, but the Pens finally got a win by defeating the Montreal Canadiens at home.

In a matchup of two teams floundering, this one could come down to whichever team makes the fewest mistakes. The Leafs will look to make it 3 straight wins over these Pens and force them into a potential new losing streak.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
13
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
39 35 15 20 -6
15
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
35 35 15 20 -9

Pittsburgh Penguins and Toronto Maple Leafs Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins Latest matches
L L L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
0 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
0 :  4
Ottawa Senators

Dec 16, 2025 - NHL

Edmonton Oilers
6 :  4
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 14, 2025 - NHL

Utah Mammoth
5 :  4
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
6 :  5
Pittsburgh Penguins
L L L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 16, 2025 - NHL

Edmonton Oilers
6 :  4
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 14, 2025 - NHL

Utah Mammoth
5 :  4
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
6 :  5
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 11, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 9, 2025 - NHL

Anaheim Ducks
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Penguins
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
0 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
0 :  4
Ottawa Senators

Dec 7, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
2 :  3
Dallas Stars

Dec 4, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
4 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 1, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
5 :  1
Philadelphia Flyers

Nov 28, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
4 :  3
Columbus Blue Jackets
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs Latest matches
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
1 :  5
Dallas Stars

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  5
Nashville Predators

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
0 :  4
Washington Capitals

Dec 16, 2025 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
2 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Edmonton Oilers
6 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 11, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
3 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 16, 2025 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
2 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Edmonton Oilers
6 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 11, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
3 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 8, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
0 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 6, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 20, 2025 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
3 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
1 :  5
Dallas Stars

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  5
Nashville Predators

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
0 :  4
Washington Capitals

Dec 4, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  1
Carolina Hurricanes

Dec 2, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  1
Florida Panthers

Nov 29, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
7 :  2
Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins against Toronto Maple Leafs : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Penguins

17 %

Toronto Maple Leafs

83 %

Nov 29, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
7 :  2
Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 3, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
3 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 2, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
6 :  5
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 7, 2024 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  5
Pittsburgh Penguins

Apr 8, 2024 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
2 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 16, 2023 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
0 :  7
Toronto Maple Leafs

Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs Key Points

  1. Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
  2. Pittsburgh is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games when playing as the underdog.
  3. Toronto is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games against Pittsburgh.
  4. Toronto is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh.

Our Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

Pittsburgh has seemingly been doubting itself all month. While it was encouraging for them to pick up the recent win over the Canadiens, we do not believe they will put together another winning performance here. The Leafs have their number and will make it a clean 3-game win streak over the Pens here at home on Tuesday.

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Toronto to win

Prediction:

 

Toronto to win

-140
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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks