Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Phoenix Suns
12/20/25 20:30
Golden State Warriors

Prediction:

 

Less than 226.5 goals

-107
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks

The Phoenix Suns head to San Francisco to face the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center today in a Western Conference matchup that already has some added tension. This will be the second meeting between these teams in just three days after Phoenix escaped with a 99-98 home win earlier in the week. With the season grinding on and both teams needing stability, this rematch carries more weight than a typical regular-season game.

Phoenix enters the contest still searching for consistency, particularly away from home. The Suns are 6-7 on the road and have struggled to maintain a high level of play against teams with postseason expectations. Offensively, they are averaging 114.8 points per game while shooting a respectable 47 percent from the field, but those numbers do not always translate into wins. Defensive breakdowns, especially in transition, have repeatedly hurt them in close games. When Phoenix loses structure, it often comes late, when ball movement slows and the offense becomes overly dependent on Devin Booker creating difficult looks.

That said, the Suns deserve credit for how they approached the first meeting with Golden State. It was a grind-it-out game where Phoenix stayed disciplined defensively and limited easy scoring opportunities. Their ability to control tempo and force the Warriors into contested shots proved decisive in the final moments. If Phoenix hopes to replicate that success, it will again require strong communication, sharp rotations, and a willingness to trust secondary options rather than leaning too heavily on isolation offense.

Golden State comes into this rematch in poor form, having lost five of its last seven games overall. The Warriors are also riding a three-game losing streak and will be eager to respond after falling just short against Phoenix on Thursday. That loss was particularly frustrating, as Golden State had chances late but could not convert when it mattered most. With home court on their side this time, the urgency level should be high from the opening tip.

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
7
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
0.536 28 15 13 -1
9
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
0.483 29 14 15 1

Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors Latest Matches

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
98 :  99
Phoenix Suns

Dec 14, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
116 :  114
Phoenix Suns

Dec 10, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
89 :  138
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 8, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
108 :  105
Minnesota Timberwolves

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
98 :  117
Houston Rockets

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
125 :  108
Los Angeles Lakers
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
98 :  99
Phoenix Suns

Dec 14, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
116 :  114
Phoenix Suns

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
130 :  112
Phoenix Suns

Nov 24, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
114 :  92
Phoenix Suns

Nov 23, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
102 :  111
Phoenix Suns

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
113 :  114
Phoenix Suns
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 10, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
89 :  138
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 8, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
108 :  105
Minnesota Timberwolves

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
98 :  117
Houston Rockets

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
125 :  108
Los Angeles Lakers

Nov 28, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
119 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
112 :  100
Sacramento Kings
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
98 :  99
Phoenix Suns

Dec 14, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
131 :  136
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 12, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
127 :  120
Golden State Warriors

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
123 :  91
Chicago Bulls

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
99 :  94
Cleveland Cavaliers

Dec 4, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
98 :  99
Philadelphia 76ers
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 12, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
127 :  120
Golden State Warriors

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  112
Golden State Warriors

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
96 :  104
Golden State Warriors

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
104 :  100
Golden State Warriors

Nov 24, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
117 :  134
Golden State Warriors

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
127 :  123
Golden State Warriors
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
98 :  99
Phoenix Suns

Dec 14, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
131 :  136
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
123 :  91
Chicago Bulls

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
99 :  94
Cleveland Cavaliers

Dec 4, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
98 :  99
Philadelphia 76ers

Nov 19, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
96 :  110
Miami Heat

Phoenix Suns against Golden State Warriors : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Suns

50 %

Golden State Warriors

50 %

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
98 :  99
Phoenix Suns

Nov 4, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
107 :  118
Golden State Warriors

Apr 8, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
133 :  95
Phoenix Suns

Jan 31, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
130 :  105
Golden State Warriors

Dec 28, 2024 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
105 :  109
Golden State Warriors

Nov 30, 2024 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
105 :  113
Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns - Golden State Warriors Key Points

  1. The Over is 0-6 in the Warriors’ last 6 home games vs. the Suns after a road loss
  2. The Over is 0-4 in the Suns’ last 4 road games vs. the Warriors after a home win
  3. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. the Suns with a winning record
  4. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games after winning as underdogs

Our Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Injuries continue to shape the outlook for both teams. Phoenix remains without Jalen Green and is monitoring Grayson Allen, who is listed as questionable. Golden State has ruled out Al Horford and Seth Curry, thinning its rotation but still leaving enough shooting and playmaking to threaten any defense. The Warriors have not played to their usual standard lately, but desperation can be a powerful motivator, especially at home.

Phoenix cooled off slightly in recent games, but its defensive effort against Stephen Curry in the first meeting stood out. Limiting his rhythm was a major reason the Suns were able to steal that win. Repeating that performance is easier said than done, especially in Chase Center, where Golden State typically plays faster and shoots with more confidence.

The Warriors continue to receive respect in the betting markets despite their recent struggles, and that has burned backers more often than not. Still, this feels like a spot where Golden State finally responds. Expect a competitive and tightly contested first half, similar to the previous meeting. As the game wears on, Golden State's pace, shooting depth, and home energy should begin to show. If the Warriors can clean up late-game execution, they are well positioned to pull away in the second half and secure a much-needed win at home. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns: Under 226.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Less than 226.5 goals

-107
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Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Picks