Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Denver Nuggets
3/7/25 22:00
Phoenix Suns

Prediction:

 

Under 238.5

 

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 by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks

The Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets are set to clash at Ball Arena this Friday in a matchup that could highlight the contrasting forms of both teams. The Suns have struggled significantly over the last 15 games, winning only four times in that span. However, they have shown some signs of life recently, going 2-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last three outings. They secured impressive victories over the New Orleans Pelicans (125-108) and the LA Clippers (119-117), with a disappointing 116-98 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves sandwiched in between.

Phoenix's recent victory over the Clippers was a dramatic one, as they overcame a 23-point second-half deficit. A dominant fourth-quarter performance propelled them to victory, with Kevin Durant leading the charge. Durant finished with 34 points and seven rebounds, while the team knocked down 14 of their 34 three-point attempts. Despite these positive moments, consistency has been a major issue for the Suns.

Meanwhile, the Nuggets have been somewhat inconsistent themselves, going 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS over their last six games. They enter this contest fresh off a 116-110 home win against the Sacramento Kings, a game in which they rallied from a 14-point deficit. Denver outscored Sacramento 32-17 in the fourth quarter, with Russell Westbrook stepping up with 25 points and five rebounds. The Nuggets displayed their efficiency from deep, hitting 12 of 35 three-point attempts, while also making the most of their opportunities at the free-throw line.

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
6 Denver Nuggets
0.61 82 50 32 3
21 Phoenix Suns
0.439 82 36 46

Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns Latest Matches

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
116 :  110
Sacramento Kings

Mar 2, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
110 :  103
Denver Nuggets

Feb 28, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
119 :  134
Denver Nuggets

Feb 27, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
121 :  112
Denver Nuggets

Feb 24, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
116 :  125
Denver Nuggets

Feb 22, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
100 :  123
Los Angeles Lakers
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
116 :  110
Sacramento Kings

Feb 22, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
100 :  123
Los Angeles Lakers

Feb 20, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
129 :  115
Charlotte Hornets

Feb 12, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
132 :  121
Portland Trail Blazers

Feb 10, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
146 :  117
Portland Trail Blazers

Feb 6, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
112 :  90
Orlando Magic
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 2, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
110 :  103
Denver Nuggets

Feb 28, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
119 :  134
Denver Nuggets

Feb 27, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
121 :  112
Denver Nuggets

Feb 24, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
116 :  125
Denver Nuggets

Feb 8, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
105 :  122
Denver Nuggets

Feb 1, 2025 - NBA

Charlotte Hornets
104 :  107
Denver Nuggets
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns Latest matches
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 4, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
119 :  117
LA Clippers

Mar 2, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
98 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves

Feb 28, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
125 :  108
New Orleans Pelicans

Feb 27, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
116 :  124
New Orleans Pelicans

Feb 25, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
151 :  148
Phoenix Suns

Feb 23, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
127 :  109
Phoenix Suns
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 4, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
119 :  117
LA Clippers

Mar 2, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
98 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves

Feb 28, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
125 :  108
New Orleans Pelicans

Feb 27, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
116 :  124
New Orleans Pelicans

Feb 11, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
112 :  119
Memphis Grizzlies

Feb 8, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
105 :  122
Denver Nuggets
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Feb 25, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
151 :  148
Phoenix Suns

Feb 23, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
127 :  109
Phoenix Suns

Feb 22, 2025 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
117 :  121
Phoenix Suns

Feb 20, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
120 :  109
Phoenix Suns

Feb 12, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
119 :  111
Phoenix Suns

Feb 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
140 :  109
Phoenix Suns

Denver Nuggets against Phoenix Suns : Head to Head (H2H)

Denver Nuggets

50 %

Phoenix Suns

50 %

Feb 8, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
105 :  122
Denver Nuggets

Dec 25, 2024 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
110 :  100
Denver Nuggets

Dec 23, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
117 :  90
Phoenix Suns

Mar 27, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
97 :  104
Phoenix Suns

Mar 5, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
107 :  117
Phoenix Suns

Dec 1, 2023 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
111 :  119
Denver Nuggets

Players list

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
N. Jokic

C. Braun

J. Murray

M. Porter Jr.

A. Gordon

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
N. Richards B. Bol

B. Beal

D. Booker

K. Durant

Substitutes

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Z. Nnaji D. Jordan

R. Westbrook

J. Pickett

H. Tyson

S. Jones

P. Watson

V. Cancar

D. Saric

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
M. Plumlee

C. Gillespie

G. Allen

T. Washington Jr.

D. Lee

V. Micic

T. Jones

R. Dunn

O. Ighodaro

R. O'Neale

Denver Nuggets - Phoenix Suns Key Points

  1. The Nuggets are 31-30-1 ATS this season
  2. The Suns are 22-39-1 ATS this season
  3. The Nuggets are 12-0 in their last 12 games at Ball Arena vs. teams with a losing record
  4. The Suns are 1-12 in their last 13 games at Ball Arena following a home win

Our Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Denver already dominated Phoenix in a previous meeting this season, winning 122-105 back in February. That game saw the Nuggets hold the Suns to just 38.8% shooting from the field, though Phoenix was missing both Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal. Denver also controlled the interior, outscoring the Suns 54-36 in the paint and knocking down 16 of 35 attempts from beyond the arc.

Looking ahead to Friday's contest, Beal is unlikely to play, but Durant will be available. However, Phoenix’s defensive struggles remain a major concern. The Suns rank 27th in the NBA in defensive rating, allowing 117.9 points per 100 possessions. Now, they have to deal with a Denver offense that boasts the second-best offensive rating in the league (120.0 points per 100 possessions).

Given Phoenix’s struggles in the paint and Denver’s rebounding advantage, the Nuggets are in a strong position to take care of business at home. Nikola Jokić should have little trouble asserting his dominance against the Suns’ frontcourt, making Denver the favored pick in this matchup. Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns: Nuggets to win.

Prediction:

 

Under 238.5

 

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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Picks