Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks
The Phoenix Suns travel to Texas tonight to face the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center in a Western Conference clash between two teams headed in opposite directions. The Suns come in at 6–5 overall and 1–4 on the road, while the Mavericks sit near the bottom of the conference at 3–8 and 2–5 at home. Phoenix has climbed to eighth in the West after winning three straight games, while Dallas ranks 14th after dropping three of its last four.
Phoenix's turnaround has been fueled by improved execution in crunch time and a renewed focus on ball movement and perimeter shooting. After a slow start to the season, the Suns have started to look more cohesive on both ends of the floor, finding offensive rhythm through spacing and timely shot-making. Despite their strong recent play, road success remains an issue—the Suns have managed just one win away from home so far this year.
Dallas, meanwhile, continues to search for consistency. The Mavericks have had a frustrating start, often playing well for stretches but struggling to close out games. Scoring droughts have been a major problem, as the team ranks last in points per game and three-pointers made. Defensive effort has been more reliable, with Dallas allowing the second-fewest three-pointers in the league, but their offensive inefficiency and injuries have made it difficult to string together wins.
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Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
0.549 | 82 | 45 | 37 | 1 |
|
23
|
0.317 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 1 |
Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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Jul 16, 2025 - NBA Summer League
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Nov 8, 2025 - NBA
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Dallas Mavericks against Phoenix Suns : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Mar 9, 2025 - NBA
Dec 27, 2024 - NBA
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Players list
M. Christie
B. Williams
P. Washington Jr.
G. Allen
D. Booker
R. O'Neale
Substitutes
K. Thompson
J. Hardy
D. Russell
N. Marshall
C. Martin
R. Dunn
C. Gillespie
J. Goodwin
O. Ighodaro
R. Fleming
I. Livers
N. Hayes
Dallas Mavericks - Phoenix Suns Key Points
- The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Mavs are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 1-4 in the Suns' last 5 games
- The Over is 1-4 in the Mavs' last 5 games
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Our Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction
Injuries remain a storyline for both sides. For Phoenix, guard Jalen Green remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, limiting their depth in the backcourt. Dallas has been hit harder: forward Anthony Davis is questionable with a calf injury, rookie standout Cooper Flagg is expected to be available despite a thumb issue, and both guard Kyrie Irving (knee) and center Dereck Lively II (knee) are questionable or out. The Mavericks' frequent lineup changes have disrupted chemistry, forcing coach Jason Kidd to rely heavily on secondary scorers and untested rotations.
The contrast in styles is clear. Phoenix leans on its perimeter firepower, ranking third in the league in three-pointers made per game. Dallas defends the arc well, but its inability to sustain scoring runs could leave them vulnerable if Phoenix gets hot early. The Suns' balanced attack and strong form make them the more reliable side entering this matchup.
If Dallas can slow the pace and turn it into a defensive battle, they'll have a chance to stay close. However, if Phoenix maintains its recent shooting rhythm and continues executing late in games, the Suns are well-positioned to extend their winning streak to four and continue climbing the Western Conference standings. Our prediction for the Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns: Under 226.5 points.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
