Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Washington Mystics
8/9/26 15:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Mystics (-1.5) cover the spread

-115
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 by Paul Tamayo in WNBA Picks

The Phoenix Mercury (12-21) visit the Washington Mystics (18-12) for a 2026 WNBA regular season matchup on Sunday, August 9, at CareFirst Arena. 

This is the first time that the Mercury and the Mystics will face each other. But the Mystics are in far better form right now.

Washington has won six straight games, including incredible wins against perennial contenders such as the Golden State Valkyries, Las Vegas Aces, Dallas Wings, and Atlanta Dream. 

Their most recent game, a 79-74 win against the Dream, was a testament to the Mystics' work on defense. They held the Dream to only 32.5% from the field and forced them to 16 turnovers. 

It's not a surprise, given that the Mystics currently rank second in the league in defensive rating (104.7).

That poses a big challenge to the Mercury offense, which ranks fourth-worst in offensive rating. The Mercury have also lost three of their last four games, including a painful 75-72 defeat to the Connecticut Sun.

Newly-acquired star guard Kelsey Plum led the Mercury with 25 points, while Kahleah Cooper chipped in 16 points. It wasn't enough, as they allowed the Sun to shoot 47.4% from the floor.

Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
6 Washington Mystics
0.6 30 18 12 6
12 Phoenix Mercury
0.364 33 12 21

Washington Mystics and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Aug 7, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
79 :  74
Atlanta Dream

Aug 5, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
96 :  92
Dallas Wings

Jul 31, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
81 :  75
Dallas Wings

Jul 28, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
92 :  84
Connecticut Sun

Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
100 :  99
Las Vegas Aces

Jul 20, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
82 :  90
Washington Mystics
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 7, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
79 :  74
Atlanta Dream

Aug 5, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
96 :  92
Dallas Wings

Jul 31, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
81 :  75
Dallas Wings

Jul 28, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
92 :  84
Connecticut Sun

Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
100 :  99
Las Vegas Aces

Jul 16, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
56 :  75
Portland Fire
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 20, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
82 :  90
Washington Mystics

Jul 18, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
74 :  69
Washington Mystics

Jul 14, 2026 - WNBA

Toronto Tempo
62 :  79
Washington Mystics

Jun 26, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
68 :  57
Washington Mystics

Jun 21, 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
79 :  84
Washington Mystics

Jun 19, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
83 :  86
Washington Mystics
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 7, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  72
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 5, 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
96 :  82
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 3, 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
101 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 1, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  94
New York Liberty

Jul 29, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
91 :  89
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
82 :  86
Phoenix Mercury
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 1, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  94
New York Liberty

Jul 29, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
91 :  89
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 19, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  63
Connecticut Sun

Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  96
Connecticut Sun

Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  92
Indiana Fever

Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  77
Chicago Sky
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 7, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  72
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 5, 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
96 :  82
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 3, 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
101 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
82 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 13, 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
104 :  100
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 11, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
106 :  58
Phoenix Mercury

Washington Mystics against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Washington Mystics

17 %

Phoenix Mercury

83 %

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
69 :  75
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
72 :  88
Phoenix Mercury

May 25, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
68 :  62
Washington Mystics

Sep 5, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
77 :  90
Washington Mystics

Jul 16, 2024 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
87 :  96
Phoenix Mercury

May 23, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  80
Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Picks

Players list

Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics
S. Austin

G. Amoore

S. Citron

M. Onyenwere

K. Iriafen

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

K. Plum

D. Bonner

A. Thomas

K. Copper

N. Brochant

Substitutes

Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics
L. Betts D. Littlepage-Buggs

A. Florez Getino

R. Harmon

L. Olsen

C. Prosper

A. Dugalic

C. McMahon

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Linskens N. Mack

S. Whitcomb

L. Held

S. Ciezki

K. Dunn

V. Ayayi

M. Suarez

Washington Mystics - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Mystics are coming off a 79-74 win against the Atlanta Dream.
  2. The Mercury are coming off a 75-72 loss to the Connecticut Sun.
  3. The Mystics are on a six-game winning streak.
  4. The Mystics rank second in the league in defensive rating.

Our Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

The Mystics head into Sunday in their best form this season. Through their elite defense, they've won six straight games, an incredible stretch that included inspiring wins over perennial contenders.

On the other hand, the Mercury have lost three of their last four games. The Mystics should be able to run away with a victory on Sunday. Our prediction for the Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury match is: Mystics (-1.5)  cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Mystics (-1.5) cover the spread

-115
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.