Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA
USA - WNBA
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by Paul Tamayo | in WNBA Picks
The Phoenix Mercury visit the Las Vegas Aces for Game 1 of the 2025 WNBA Finals on Friday, October 3, at the Michelob Ultra Arena.
The wheels fly to Las Vegas for the best-of-seven championship series between the Mercury and Aces. In their four meetings in the regular season, the Aces won three games by an average margin of 9.3 points. Three of those matches were only decided by under six points, although the last game was a blowout victory from the Aces.
Moreover, these two teams are close to each other in the league's rankings. On offensive rating, the Aces rank 5th (108.1) and the Mercury rank 7th (105.9). Meanwhile, the Aces rank 8th (104.4) in defensive rating, with the Mercury slotted at 5th (102.5).
Of course, Las Vegas boasts the season MVP in their lineup. A'ja Wilson is averaging 23.4 points, 10.2 rebounds, and 2.3 blocks. During the Game 5 decider in the Aces' semifinals matchup against the Indiana Fever, Wilson put up 35 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists, 4 steals, and 4 blocks.
The Aces and Mercury are heading into this series with fully healthy and available lineups. This paves way for a more exciting championship series.
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Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Form
Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 30, 2025 - WNBA
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Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 30, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 18, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 16, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 27, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA
Las Vegas Aces against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 1, 2024 - WNBA
Players list
C. Gray
J. Young
N. Smith
K. Bell
M. Akoa-Makani
S. Sabally
K. Copper
A. Thomas
Substitutes
D. Evans
A. Nye
J. Loyd
C. Parker
K. Williams
D. Bonner
L. Held
S. Whitcomb
K. Laksa
K. Westbeld
Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury Key Points
- The Aces won three of their four regular season matches against the Mercury.
- The Aces have a better offensive rating, while the Mercury have a better defensive rating.
- Aces star A'ja Wilson is averaging 23.4 points, 10.2 rebounds, and 2.3 blocks.
- The Mercury have three players averaging more than 15 points.
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Our Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction
Despite a rebuilt lineup following the departure of long-tenured stars Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner, the Mercury defied odds and went all the way. They rely on their three-headed monster of Satou Sabally, Kahleah Cooper, and Alyssa Thomas.
However, they'll be going up against an Aces squad that's led by the reigning MVP A'ja Wilson. Following an incredible performance during the semifinals decider, look for Wilson to dominate against the Mercury. Our prediction for the Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury is: Aces (-3.5) cover the spread.Grab an extra $350 for your Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury wager!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
