New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA
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by Paul Tamayo | in WNBA Picks
The New York Liberty (4-4) host the Phoenix Mercury (2-6) in a WNBA 2026 matchup on Friday, May 29, at Barclays Center in Brooklyn.
New York and Phoenix have already met once this season, with the Liberty coming out on top just two days ago. They hacked out an 84-74 win, with their defense forcing the Mercury to commit 16 turnovers. Marine Johannes led the charge for New York, finishing with 21 points and 5 assists.
That win finally snapped the Liberty's three-game losing skid. Despite their underwhelming record, this team still ranks in the top half of the league in both offensive and defensive rating.
Moreover, their star guard Sabrina Ionescu's name is finally crossed off the team's injury report. Ionescu has only played once this season, tallying 11 points, 5 rebounds, and 7 assists in a 15-point loss to the Dallas Wings.
The same couldn't be said for the Mercury's side, as they're still on a four-game losing skid. After winning their season opener against the Las Vegas Aces, the Mercury have lost six of the next seven games since.
Phoenix also lags behind New York in terms of offensive and defensive rating, placing them in a deeper hole on Friday.
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New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
0.556 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 2 |
|
12
|
0.357 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 2 |
New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 27, 2026 - WNBA
May 25, 2026 - WNBA
May 24, 2026 - WNBA
May 21, 2026 - WNBA
May 14, 2026 - WNBA
May 12, 2026 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 27, 2026 - WNBA
May 25, 2026 - WNBA
May 24, 2026 - WNBA
May 21, 2026 - WNBA
May 8, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 14, 2026 - WNBA
May 12, 2026 - WNBA
May 10, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 27, 2026 - WNBA
May 24, 2026 - WNBA
May 21, 2026 - WNBA
May 19, 2026 - WNBA
May 15, 2026 - WNBA
May 12, 2026 - WNBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 21, 2026 - WNBA
May 19, 2026 - WNBA
May 15, 2026 - WNBA
May 12, 2026 - WNBA
Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 27, 2026 - WNBA
May 24, 2026 - WNBA
May 10, 2026 - WNBA
May 9, 2026 - WNBA
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
New York Liberty against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
May 27, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA
Players list
M. Johannes
P. Astier
L. Fiebich
B. Stewart
M. Akoa-Makani
N. Brochant
A. Thomas
K. Copper
Substitutes
R. Gardner
R. Allen
S. Sabally
Q. Carter
D. Bonner
K. Williams
S. Whitcomb
J. Nogic
V. Ayayi
New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury Key Points
- The Liberty beat the Mercury 84-74 in their only head-to-head this season.
- The Liberty have a better offensive and defensive rating.
- Sabrina Ionescu is now crossed off the Liberty's injury report.
- The Mercury have lost their last four games.
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Our New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction
The Liberty enter this game having just handled Phoenix two days ago, and the familiarity works squarely in their favor. In addition, they won without star guard Sabrina Ionescu, who will suit up for Friday's rematch.
Meanwhile, the Mercury have lost their last four games. There's little hope that they can keep this game close, especially if Ionescu's not rusty after that injury layoff. Our prediction for the New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury match is: Liberty (-5.5) cover the spread.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
