New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

New York Liberty
5/27/26 19:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Liberty (-5.5) cover the spread

-110
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 by Paul Tamayo | in WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty (3-4) host the Phoenix Mercury (2-5) in a WNBA 2026 matchup on Wednesday, May 27, at Barclays Center in Brooklyn.

Neither the Liberty nor the Mercury enters this game in good form. 

The Liberty are in a worrying tailspin, having dropped three straight games after a promising start to the season. They're coming off an 81-74 loss to the Portland Fire, after their offense sputtered almost the entire match.

Breanna Stewart finished with 25 points built on a 15-17 clip from the free throw line, while Marine Johannes contributed 17 points and 6 assists. But the Liberty turned the ball over 19 times, with their starters accounting for 16. 

Liberty star guard Sabrina Ionescu, who is dealing with a back injury, didn't play against the Fire. She did play in the previous game against the Dallas Wings, but New York is obviously managing her load. She's still listed as day-to-day for Wednesday.

Meanwhile, the Mercury aren't doing well, either. After a surprising opener win over the Las Vegas Aces, Phoenix have lost five of their last six games, including their last three. 

The Mercury doesn't have an injury listed right now, but they'll be hard-pressed to contain Stewart and the Liberty.

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
7 New York Liberty
0.556 27 15 12 2
12 Phoenix Mercury
0.357 28 10 18 2

New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 25, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
74 :  81
Portland Fire

May 24, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  91
Dallas Wings

May 21, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
70 :  87
Golden State Valkyries

May 14, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
82 :  100
New York Liberty

May 12, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
98 :  96
New York Liberty

May 10, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
93 :  98
New York Liberty
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 25, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
74 :  81
Portland Fire

May 24, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  91
Dallas Wings

May 21, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
70 :  87
Golden State Valkyries

May 8, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
106 :  75
Connecticut Sun

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
75 :  66
Washington Mystics
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 14, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
82 :  100
New York Liberty

May 12, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
98 :  96
New York Liberty

May 10, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
93 :  98
New York Liberty

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  73
New York Liberty

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  76
New York Liberty

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  91
New York Liberty
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

May 24, 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
82 :  80
Phoenix Mercury

May 21, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  97
L.a. Sparks

May 19, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
90 :  98
Toronto Tempo

May 15, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
91 :  83
Chicago Sky

May 12, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

May 10, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
95 :  79
Phoenix Mercury
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

May 21, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  97
L.a. Sparks

May 19, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
90 :  98
Toronto Tempo

May 15, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
91 :  83
Chicago Sky

May 12, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  97
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  90
Las Vegas Aces
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 24, 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
82 :  80
Phoenix Mercury

May 10, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
95 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

May 9, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
66 :  99
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
91 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
89 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

New York Liberty against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Liberty

33 %

Phoenix Mercury

67 %

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  73
New York Liberty

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  76
New York Liberty

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
80 :  63
New York Liberty

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
89 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
106 :  91
New York Liberty
New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Picks

Players list

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
J. Jones

M. Johannes

P. Astier

L. Fiebich

B. Stewart

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack

M. Akoa-Makani

N. Brochant

A. Thomas

K. Copper

Substitutes

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
R. Carrera H. Xu B. Laney

R. Gardner

R. Allen

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Linskens

Q. Carter

K. Williams

D. Bonner

M. Suarez

J. Nogic

V. Ayayi

New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Mercury are coming off an 82-80 loss to the Atlanta Dream.
  2. The Mercury have lost five of their last six games.
  3. The Liberty have a better offensive and defensive rating than the Mercury.
  4. There's a good chance that Liberty star Sabrina Ionescu will play on Wednesday.

Our New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

Both the Liberty and Mercury are playing underwhelming basketball right now, especially compared to what's expected from them. They both head into this game with three-game losing streaks.

But of course, the Liberty have the advantage in personnel, especially if Sabrina Ionescu suits up on Wednesday. It won't be a cake walk, but New York seems to be the favorites in this match. Our prediction for the New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury match is: Liberty (-5.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Liberty (-5.5) cover the spread

-110
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.