Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
9/17/25 20:00
New York Liberty

Prediction:

 

New York Liberty wins the match

-150
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 by Tyler Doty in WNBA Picks

On Wednesday night, September 17th, the New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury will face off in the second game of the first round of the WNBA playoffs. The game will be played at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn.

In the first game between the teams, which is a best-of-three series at this stage, the Mercury looked threatening at times and stayed ahead on the scoreboard, but without managing to build a comfortable lead, allowing the Liberty to take control of the game again. Even so, the home team's reaction took the game into overtime. In overtime, the New York team dominated, taking the lead on their first possession, opening up a comfortable lead, and never relinquishing it to win 76-69.

Point guard Natasha Cloud was the game's leading scorer with 23 points, followed by Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu, who scored 18 and 16 points, respectively. For the Mercury, point guard Kahleah Copper was the leading scorer with 15 points, and Alyssa Thomas came close to a triple-double with 14 points, 9 rebounds, and 8 assists.

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Form

Phoenix Mercury and New York Liberty Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  97
Dallas Wings

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
88 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  87
Connecticut Sun

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
75 :  69
Washington Mystics

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
79 :  85
Phoenix Mercury
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
88 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
79 :  85
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
63 :  80
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
79 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 22, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
72 :  81
Phoenix Mercury
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  97
Dallas Wings

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  87
Connecticut Sun

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
75 :  69
Washington Mystics

Aug 26, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  84
L.a. Sparks

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
61 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
98 :  91
Golden State Valkyries
New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  86
Chicago Sky

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
66 :  75
New York Liberty

Sep 5, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
84 :  76
Seattle Storm

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
58 :  66
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
63 :  80
Phoenix Mercury
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
66 :  75
New York Liberty

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
63 :  89
New York Liberty

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
79 :  81
New York Liberty

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
91 :  85
New York Liberty

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
75 :  85
New York Liberty

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  71
New York Liberty
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  86
Chicago Sky

Sep 5, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
84 :  76
Seattle Storm

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
58 :  66
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
63 :  80
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 23, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
62 :  78
Atlanta Dream

Phoenix Mercury against New York Liberty : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

50 %

New York Liberty

50 %

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
63 :  80
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  89
New York Liberty

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Aug 26, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
84 :  70
Phoenix Mercury

Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty Key Points

  1. The Liberty are on a four-game winning streak.
  2. The Mercury have lost their last four games.
  3. The Liberty played away and won the first game against the Mercury, 76-69.
  4. The Liberty is playing at home, looking for a win to advance in the playoffs.

Our Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction

It is interesting to note that Mercury's defense managed to limit Liberty's attack in the first game between the teams, but even so, it was not enough to secure the victory, with Natasha Cloud appearing as the surprise element of the New York team, even with the game taking place in Arizona.

Now, with the New York team playing at home, and considering that the visiting team does not have many more adjustments possible given the outcome of the first game, there is greater favoritism for the home team.

Therefore, our prediction for the New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury: Victory for New York Liberty.

Prediction:

 

New York Liberty wins the match

-150
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Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Picks