Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
7/25/25 19:30
New York Liberty

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury +6.5

-110
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 by Matt Lowrimore in WNBA Picks

Three games are set to take place in the WNBA on Friday night, one of which will see the New York Liberty take on the Phoenix Mercury. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Liberty and Mercury.

Phoenix enters this game with a record of 15-8 and is currently in second place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Mercury most recently lost to the Atlanta Dream on Wednesday night by a score of 90-79. Phoenix had four players score in double figures, including Dewanna Bonner, who came off the bench to score a team-high 18 points.

As for New York, they enter this game with a record of 16-6 and are currently in first place in the WNBA’s Eastern Conference. The Liberty most recently beat the Indiana Fever this past Tuesday night by a score of 98-84. New York had six players score in double figures, including all five of their starters. Breanna Stewart and Leonie Fiebich led the way for the Liberty, each scoring 17 points.

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
0.727 22 16 6 4
2
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.652 23 15 8 -2

Phoenix Mercury and New York Liberty Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  79
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
72 :  102
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  98
Dallas Wings
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
72 :  102
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  93
Phoenix Mercury
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  79
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  98
Dallas Wings

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
107 :  86
Chicago Sky

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  75
Connecticut Sun
New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
84 :  98
New York Liberty

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
77 :  98
New York Liberty

Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  79
New York Liberty

Jul 8, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
78 :  87
New York Liberty

Jul 6, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
79 :  70
New York Liberty

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
79 :  89
New York Liberty
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
84 :  98
New York Liberty

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
77 :  98
New York Liberty

Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  79
New York Liberty

Jul 8, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
78 :  87
New York Liberty

Jul 6, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
79 :  70
New York Liberty

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
79 :  89
New York Liberty
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  78
Golden State Valkyries

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
79 :  89
Seattle Storm

Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
88 :  102
Indiana Fever

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
86 :  78
Washington Mystics

Phoenix Mercury against New York Liberty : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

50 %

New York Liberty

50 %

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Aug 26, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
84 :  70
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 18, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
93 :  99
Phoenix Mercury

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  81
New York Liberty

Jul 5, 2023 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
95 :  99
New York Liberty

Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty Key Points

  1. The Liberty are 11-2 SU at home this season
  2. The Mercury are 6-4 SU on the road this season
  3. The Mercury are 2-0 SU vs the Liberty this season
  4. The Mercury are 2-0 ATS vs the Liberty this season

Our Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction

While the Liberty have consistently been one of the best teams in the league this season, the Mercury have had their number in the two regular-season meetings thus far. Not only have the Mercury beaten the Liberty twice this season, but they have won these games by an average margin of 11.5 points per game. 

Both the Mercury and Liberty are near the top of the league in terms of points allowed per game this season, but because of the success that Phoenix has had against New York this season, our New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Phoenix Mercury +6.5.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury +6.5

-110
$150 offered for betting!

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Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Picks