Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
6/19/25 19:00
New York Liberty

Prediction:

 

Sabrina Ionescu to Score 20+ Points

-106
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 by Matt Lowrimore in WNBA Picks

Just two games are scheduled in the WNBA on Thursday night, one of which will see the New York Liberty host the Phoenix Mercury. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mercury and Liberty.

Phoenix enters this game with a record of 9-4 and is currently in second place in the Western Conference. The Mercury will be playing this game on the second night of a back-to-back, having won against the Connecticut Sun on Wednesday night. Phoenix had five players score in double figures in this game, including Alyssa Thomas and Lexi Held, who each scored a team-high 14 points.

As for New York, they enter this game with a record of 10-1, which puts them in the top spot in the Eastern Conference. The Liberty only recently lost their first game of the season to the Indiana Fever this past Saturday by a score of 102-88. However, the Liberty quickly bounced back in their most recent game, beating the Atlanta Dream on Tuesday night by a score of 86-81. New York had three players score in double figures in this game, including Breanna Stewart with 23 points and Sabrina Ionescu, who scored a game-high 34 points.

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
0.909 11 10 1 1
2
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.692 13 9 4 3

Phoenix Mercury and New York Liberty Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  75
Connecticut Sun

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  70
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  93
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
89 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
65 :  88
Minnesota Lynx
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  93
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
89 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
74 :  71
Phoenix Mercury

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
89 :  94
Phoenix Mercury

May 25, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
62 :  68
Phoenix Mercury
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  75
Connecticut Sun

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  70
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
65 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  80
L.a. Sparks

May 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
70 :  77
Seattle Storm

Sep 25, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  101
Minnesota Lynx
New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
81 :  86
New York Liberty

Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
88 :  102
Indiana Fever

Jun 10, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
66 :  85
New York Liberty

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
86 :  78
Washington Mystics

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
52 :  100
New York Liberty

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  63
Washington Mystics
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
81 :  86
New York Liberty

Jun 10, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
66 :  85
New York Liberty

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
52 :  100
New York Liberty

May 29, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  82
New York Liberty

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
67 :  95
New York Liberty

May 17, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
78 :  92
New York Liberty
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
88 :  102
Indiana Fever

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
86 :  78
Washington Mystics

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  63
Washington Mystics

May 24, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
90 :  88
Indiana Fever

May 22, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
99 :  74
Chicago Sky

Oct 18, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Phoenix Mercury against New York Liberty : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

25 %

New York Liberty

75 %

Aug 26, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
84 :  70
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 18, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
93 :  99
Phoenix Mercury

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  81
New York Liberty

Jul 5, 2023 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
95 :  99
New York Liberty

Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty Key Points

  1. Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 20.8 points per game this season
  2. Sabrina Ionescu has scored 20+ points in seven games this season
  3. The Liberty are averaging 89.8 points per game this season
  4. The Mercury are allowing 77.6 points per game this season

Our Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction

With the Mercury on the second night of a back-to-back, betting them to cover feels risky. At the same time, backing the Liberty also feels risky as the spread is set in double figures.

Instead, we will be looking to target Sabrina Ionescu from the New York Liberty to score at least 20 points. Ionescu is the leading scorer for the Liberty and is averaging 20.8 points per game. Additionally, she is coming off back-to-back games of 34 points and has scored at least 20 points in her last three games.

Overall, Ionescu has scored at least 20 points in seven of the Liberty’s 11 games this season; therefore, our Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty prediction is: Sabrina Ionescu to Score 20+ Points.

Prediction:

 

Sabrina Ionescu to Score 20+ Points

-106
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Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Picks