Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
7/16/25 13:00
Minnesota Lynx

Prediction:

 

Minnesota Lynx Alternate Spread -9.5

-135
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 by Matt Lowrimore in WNBA Picks

A five-game slate is set in the WNBA on Wednesday, one of which will feature the Minnesota Lynx taking on the Phoenix Mercury. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Lynx and Mercury.

Phoenix enters this game with a record of 15-6, and they are currently in second place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Mercury most recently beat the Golden State Valkyries this past Monday night by a score of 78-77. Phoenix had three players score in double figures, including Dewanna Bonner, who came off the bench to score a game-high 22 points.

As for Minnesota, they enter this game with a record of 19-4 and are currently in first place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Lynx most recently beat the Chicago Sky this past Monday by a score of 91-78. Minnesota had four players score in double figures, including Napheesa Collier, who scored a game-high 29 points.

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Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
0.826 23 19 4 1
2
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.714 21 15 6 3

Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
72 :  102
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  98
Dallas Wings

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  106
Phoenix Mercury
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
72 :  102
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  93
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
89 :  77
Phoenix Mercury
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  98
Dallas Wings

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
107 :  86
Chicago Sky

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  75
Connecticut Sun

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  70
Las Vegas Aces
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
91 :  78
Chicago Sky

Jul 12, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
81 :  87
Chicago Sky

Jul 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
91 :  82
L.a. Sparks

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 6, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
75 :  80
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 5, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
71 :  82
Minnesota Lynx
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 6, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
75 :  80
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 5, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
71 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
75 :  92
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 1, 2025 - WNBA Commissioner Cup

Indiana Fever
74 :  59
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
63 :  102
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
66 :  82
Minnesota Lynx
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
91 :  78
Chicago Sky

Jul 12, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
81 :  87
Chicago Sky

Jul 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
91 :  82
L.a. Sparks

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
96 :  92
Atlanta Dream

Jun 24, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
64 :  68
Washington Mystics

Phoenix Mercury against Minnesota Lynx : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

17 %

Minnesota Lynx

83 %

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
65 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
74 :  71
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 25, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  101
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
95 :  102
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 28, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
89 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx Key Points

  1. Lexi Held has been ruled OUT for Phoenix
  2. Satou Sabally has been ruled OUT for Phoenix
  3. Minnesota is 11-0 SU at home this season
  4. Minnesota is 1-0 ATS vs Phoenix at home this season
Up to $150 to bet on Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx! 

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Our Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction

These are two of the top teams in the WNBA, and as such, they have mostly played each other closely this season. The most decisive game between these two teams was played in Minnesota, where the Lynx won by a score of 88-65. 

The Lynx have yet to lose a home game all season and have won their home games by an average margin of 14.8 points per game.

Keep in mind, Phoenix will be without their top scorer, Satou Sabally, who leads the team by scoring 19.1 points per game.

With Minnesota’s home dominance and Phoenix missing their best scoring option, our Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Minnesota Lynx Alternate Spread -9.5.

Prediction:

 

Minnesota Lynx Alternate Spread -9.5

-135
$150 offered for betting!

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Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Picks
Up to $150 to bet on Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx! 

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