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by Erik Gibbs | in WNBA Picks
A heated Western Conference rivalry takes center stage on June 1 as the Los Angeles Sparks welcome the Phoenix Mercury to Crypto.com Arena. With both teams navigating inconsistent starts to the WNBA season, Sunday’s matchup carries extra weight as each side looks to build momentum heading into June.
The Sparks have shown flashes of offensive cohesion, scoring a total of 810 points over their last 10 games—an average of 81 per contest. At home, they’ve been steady, posting 80.4 points per game, which reflects a team that’s comfortable and confident in its own environment. However, the Sparks have only managed four wins in their last 10 outings, highlighting ongoing struggles to close games and find consistency on both ends of the floor.
Phoenix, meanwhile, has been a bit more productive offensively. The Mercury are averaging 81.8 points per game over their last 10 contests and an impressive 84.25 points per game in road games. Despite splitting their last 10 away from home, they’ve shown they can generate offense without relying on home-court advantage—a crucial edge in a tight matchup like this.
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Phoenix Mercury vs L.a. Sparks Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.714 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
|
6
|
0.25 | 8 | 2 | 6 | -3 |
Phoenix Mercury and L.a. Sparks Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 25, 2025 - WNBA
May 23, 2025 - WNBA
May 21, 2025 - WNBA
May 17, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 25, 2025 - WNBA
May 21, 2025 - WNBA
May 17, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2024 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 25, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 15, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 7, 2024 - WNBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 25, 2025 - WNBA
May 23, 2025 - WNBA
May 21, 2025 - WNBA
May 18, 2025 - WNBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 25, 2025 - WNBA
May 23, 2025 - WNBA
May 18, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 11, 2024 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 21, 2025 - WNBA
May 16, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 15, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 6, 2024 - WNBA
Phoenix Mercury against L.a. Sparks : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
May 21, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2024 - WNBA
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Jun 28, 2024 - WNBA
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Players list
Substitutes
Phoenix Mercury - L.a. Sparks Key Points
- The Mercury are 6-12-1 ATS in their last 19 games
- The Mercury are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
- The Sparks are 3-18 SU in their last 21 games
- The Sparks are 1-3 SU at home this season
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Our Phoenix Mercury vs L.a. Sparks Prediction
Phoenix forward Satou Sabally continues to carry the offensive load, averaging 20.8 points and eight rebounds per game. She’s the focal point of the Mercury attack and will likely be the biggest challenge for the Sparks’ defense. Alyssa Thomas is also a key contributor, adding 15.2 points and a team-leading eight assists per game. Monique Akoa Makani (9.7 PPG) and Kitija Laksa (7.4 PPG) round out a balanced Phoenix scoring unit.
Defensively, Phoenix has begun to separate itself as the more reliable unit. They’ve tightened up in recent games, and that defensive stability could prove pivotal on Sunday. While Los Angeles has shown energy and flashes of promise, they haven’t matched Phoenix’s recent execution—particularly on defense.
Given their road scoring strength and more consistent defensive performances, Phoenix should be favored to come out on top in this matchup. Expect the Mercury to lean on Sabally’s scoring and their defensive intensity to notch their fifth win of the season in what should be another closely contested chapter of this rivalry. Our prediction for LA Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: Mercury to win and cover.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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