Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
7/3/25 20:00
Dallas Wings

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury to win.

-625
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 by Stephen Abiola in WNBA Picks

Dallas Wings (3-11) will look to pull off an upset in the Western Conference when they host Phoenix Mercury (11-4) on Thursday night. The Wings got off to a slow start this season, sitting at the bottom of the conference. They are struggling with squad depth after losing vital players to the Eurobasket, whereas Paige Beckers has been in and out of the team. It could be a long season ahead, with reports saying Chris Koclanes is losing the locker room.

Phoenix Mercury is the exact opposite of Dallas Wings this season. The Mercury successfully overhauled their roster during the offseason, pulling off a four-team, 13-player trade. This saw Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally join Kahleah Copper, who has already spent a year with the franchise. Their head coach, Nate Tibbetts, has undoubtedly done a great job maximizing their star players' versatility. The excitement in Phoenix is definitely justified.

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
2
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.706 17 12 5 -1
7
Dallas Wings
Dallas Wings
0.278 18 5 13 1

Phoenix Mercury and Dallas Wings Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
107 :  86
Chicago Sky

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  75
Connecticut Sun

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  70
Las Vegas Aces
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  93
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
89 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
74 :  71
Phoenix Mercury
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
107 :  86
Chicago Sky

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  75
Connecticut Sun

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  70
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
65 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  80
L.a. Sparks
Dallas Wings
Dallas Wings Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 28, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
71 :  79
Dallas Wings

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
94 :  86
Dallas Wings

Jun 24, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
55 :  68
Dallas Wings

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
88 :  91
Washington Mystics

Jun 20, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
86 :  83
Connecticut Sun

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
71 :  80
Dallas Wings
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 28, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
71 :  79
Dallas Wings

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
94 :  86
Dallas Wings

Jun 24, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
55 :  68
Dallas Wings

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
71 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jun 8, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
81 :  65
Dallas Wings

Jun 6, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
93 :  79
Dallas Wings
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
88 :  91
Washington Mystics

Jun 20, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
86 :  83
Connecticut Sun

Jun 13, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
84 :  88
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  93
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
77 :  83
Seattle Storm

May 29, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
92 :  97
Chicago Sky

Phoenix Mercury against Dallas Wings : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

67 %

Dallas Wings

33 %

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  93
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 10, 2024 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
84 :  100
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 3, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
104 :  96
Dallas Wings

Jun 9, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
97 :  90
Dallas Wings

May 25, 2024 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
107 :  92
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2023 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
77 :  62
Phoenix Mercury

Phoenix Mercury - Dallas Wings Key Points

  1. The Mercury won their last four matches against the Wings.
  2. The Wings are 1-10 in their last 11 home games.
  3. The Mercury are 4-1 ATS in their last five assignments.
  4. The Mercury are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with Dallas.

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction

Dallas Wings will have the fans behind them in this matchup. However, they could fall short in their mission to defeat the excellent Mercury. These teams are almost evenly matched in attack, with the Mercury averaging 82.3 PPG, which is good for sixth. The Wings, on the other hand, are seventh with 81.9 points per contest. However, the Mercury's attackers should find their way around the Dallas defense, which averages 86.9 PAPG this year. That's 11th in the 2025 WNBA rankings. Expect Phoenix Mercury to dominate the proceedings right from the start.

Our prediction for Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury: Phoenix Mercury to win.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury to win.

-625
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Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Picks