Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
9/6/25 13:00
Connecticut Sun

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury -10.5

-112
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 by Matt Lowrimore in WNBA Picks

Just a two-game slate is scheduled in the WNBA on Saturday, including a matchup that will see the Connecticut Sun take on the Phoenix Mercury. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Sun and Mercury.

Phoenix enters this game with a record of 27-14 and is currently in third place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Mercury most recently beat the Washington Mystics this past Thursday night by a score of 75-69. Phoenix had four players score in double figures, including Kahleah Copper, who scored a team-high 18 points.

As for Connecticut, they enter this game with a record of 10-31 and are currently in last place in the WNBA’s Eastern Conference. The Sun most recently lost to the Chicago Sky this past Wednesday night by a score of 88-64. Connecticut had two players score in double figures, including Tina Charles, who scored a game-high 19 points.

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
2
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.659 41 27 14 6
5
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
0.244 41 10 31 -3

Phoenix Mercury and Connecticut Sun Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
75 :  69
Washington Mystics

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
79 :  85
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
63 :  80
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
79 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 26, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  84
L.a. Sparks

Aug 22, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
72 :  81
Phoenix Mercury
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
79 :  85
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
63 :  80
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
79 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 22, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
72 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
86 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
74 :  66
Phoenix Mercury
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
75 :  69
Washington Mystics

Aug 26, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  84
L.a. Sparks

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
61 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
98 :  91
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  82
Seattle Storm

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  67
Chicago Sky
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun Latest matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 3, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
64 :  88
Chicago Sky

Sep 1, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
93 :  76
Connecticut Sun

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
94 :  70
Connecticut Sun

Aug 27, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
101 :  95
Dallas Wings

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
79 :  81
New York Liberty

Aug 23, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
94 :  84
Chicago Sky
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 1, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
93 :  76
Connecticut Sun

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
94 :  70
Connecticut Sun

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
56 :  67
Connecticut Sun

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
99 :  93
Connecticut Sun

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
62 :  71
Connecticut Sun

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
87 :  78
Connecticut Sun
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 3, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
64 :  88
Chicago Sky

Aug 27, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
101 :  95
Dallas Wings

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
79 :  81
New York Liberty

Aug 23, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
94 :  84
Chicago Sky

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
80 :  69
Washington Mystics

Aug 11, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
57 :  74
Golden State Valkyries

Phoenix Mercury against Connecticut Sun : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

33 %

Connecticut Sun

67 %

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
66 :  82
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  75
Connecticut Sun

Sep 13, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
88 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 14, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  96
Connecticut Sun

Jul 1, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
83 :  72
Phoenix Mercury

May 28, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
47 :  70
Connecticut Sun

Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun Key Points

  1. The Sun are 6-14 SU at home this season
  2. The Sun have lost three games in a row
  3. The Mercury have won six games in a row
  4. The Mercury are 2-0 SU vs the Sun this season

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction

This matchup is a clear mismatch as Connecticut has consistently been one of the worst teams in the league this season, while Phoenix has been one of the top teams. These two teams have already met twice this season, in which the Mercury won both times. Further, Phoenix won these games by an average margin of 12 points per game.

Additionally, Phoenix appears to be getting hot at the right time, having won six games in a row, while Connecticut has lost three games in a row by an average margin of 21.7 points per game. Given the success the Mercury have had against the Sun this season and the clear difference in form, our Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Phoenix Mercury -10.5.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury -10.5

-112
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Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Picks