Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
8/1/25 19:30
Atlanta Dream

Prediction:

 

Atlanta Dream ML

+102
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 by Matt Lowrimore in WNBA Picks

Friday’s slate in the WNBA is a crowded one, as there are five games set to be played. One of these games will feature a matchup between the Atlanta Dream and Phoenix Mercury, two of the best teams in the league. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Dream and the Mercury.

The Mercury enter this game with a record of 16-10 and are currently in second place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Mercury most recently beat the Indiana Fever this past Wednesday by a score of 107-101. Phoenix had just three players score in double figures, including Alyssa Thomas, who scored a game-high 32 points.

As for Atlanta, they enter this game with a record of 16-11 and are currently in second place in the WNBA’s Eastern Conference. The Dream most recently beat the Dallas Wings this past Wednesday by a score of 88-85. Atlanta had five players score in double figures, including Naz Hillmon, who came off the bench to score a team-high 21 points, which also included the game-winning three with less than three seconds remaining in the game.

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Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
2
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
0.593 27 16 11 1
2
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.615 26 16 10 -1

Phoenix Mercury and Atlanta Dream Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
101 :  107
Indiana Fever

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  72
Washington Mystics

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  89
New York Liberty

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  79
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  77
Golden State Valkyries
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
72 :  102
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  93
Phoenix Mercury
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
101 :  107
Indiana Fever

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  72
Washington Mystics

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  89
New York Liberty

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  79
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  98
Dallas Wings
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
88 :  85
Dallas Wings

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  75
Atlanta Dream

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  87
Las Vegas Aces

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
86 :  49
Chicago Sky
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  75
Atlanta Dream

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
81 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
80 :  79
Atlanta Dream

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
96 :  92
Atlanta Dream

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
80 :  93
Atlanta Dream
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
88 :  85
Dallas Wings

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  87
Las Vegas Aces

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
86 :  49
Chicago Sky

Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  79
New York Liberty

Phoenix Mercury against Atlanta Dream : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

50 %

Atlanta Dream

50 %

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 3, 2024 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
66 :  74
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 23, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
82 :  80
Atlanta Dream

Aug 21, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
63 :  72
Atlanta Dream

Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream Key Points

  1. The Dream are 8-4 SU at home this season
  2. The Mercury are 7-6 SU on the road this season
  3. The Dream are 1-0 SU and ATS vs the Mercury this season
  4. Atlanta’s Rhyne Howard is a game-time decision
Up to $150 to bet on Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream! 

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Our Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction

This matchup is very evenly matched, considering Atlanta and Phoenix have two of the best records in the WNBA this season. In the only regular-season meeting this year, Atlanta easily handled Phoenix, beating them by a score of 90-79. 

The Dream are now just a small favorite because they are playing at home, where they have eight wins in 12 games. Additionally, Atlanta’s Rhyne Howard was previously ruled out for the month of July, but as we are about to enter August, there is a chance she will make her return. Howard is an important piece for the Dream, but even without her, the Dream have had some success, including beating the Minnesota Lynx on the road.

The Mercury have also been a little inconsistent recently, winning just four of their last 10 games. Therefore, because this game is being played in Atlanta, our Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Atlanta Dream ML.

Prediction:

 

Atlanta Dream ML

+102
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Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Picks
Up to $150 to bet on Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream! 

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