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by Matt Lowrimore in WNBA Picks
Friday’s slate in the WNBA is a crowded one, as there are five games set to be played. One of these games will feature a matchup between the Atlanta Dream and Phoenix Mercury, two of the best teams in the league. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Dream and the Mercury.
The Mercury enter this game with a record of 16-10 and are currently in second place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Mercury most recently beat the Indiana Fever this past Wednesday by a score of 107-101. Phoenix had just three players score in double figures, including Alyssa Thomas, who scored a game-high 32 points.
As for Atlanta, they enter this game with a record of 16-11 and are currently in second place in the WNBA’s Eastern Conference. The Dream most recently beat the Dallas Wings this past Wednesday by a score of 88-85. Atlanta had five players score in double figures, including Naz Hillmon, who came off the bench to score a team-high 21 points, which also included the game-winning three with less than three seconds remaining in the game.
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Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
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0.593 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 1 |
2
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0.615 | 26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
Phoenix Mercury and Atlanta Dream Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA
Phoenix Mercury against Atlanta Dream : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 3, 2024 - WNBA
Aug 23, 2024 - WNBA
Aug 21, 2024 - WNBA
Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream Key Points
- The Dream are 8-4 SU at home this season
- The Mercury are 7-6 SU on the road this season
- The Dream are 1-0 SU and ATS vs the Mercury this season
- Atlanta’s Rhyne Howard is a game-time decision
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Our Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction
This matchup is very evenly matched, considering Atlanta and Phoenix have two of the best records in the WNBA this season. In the only regular-season meeting this year, Atlanta easily handled Phoenix, beating them by a score of 90-79.
The Dream are now just a small favorite because they are playing at home, where they have eight wins in 12 games. Additionally, Atlanta’s Rhyne Howard was previously ruled out for the month of July, but as we are about to enter August, there is a chance she will make her return. Howard is an important piece for the Dream, but even without her, the Dream have had some success, including beating the Minnesota Lynx on the road.
The Mercury have also been a little inconsistent recently, winning just four of their last 10 games. Therefore, because this game is being played in Atlanta, our Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Atlanta Dream ML.Jackpot Pools
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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