Philadelphia Union vs New York City Prediction & Picks - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
11/23/25 19:45
New York City

Prediction:

 

Hannes Wolf +1 Shots On Target

-145
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Major League Soccer Picks

The fourth and final conference semifinal to take place this weekend sees the Philadelphia Union take on New York City FC at Subaru Park, where the hosts have not tasted defeat since March. Clearly, the Union boys know how to make life very tough for their opponents when playing in front of a home crowd, so the visitors really do have their work cut out here. 

We know that the NYCFC boys can grind out results, they did that against Charlotte during the best-of-three series, and any team that can outlast Dean Smith's men shoud be feared. Moreover, the visitors are very, very good and toughing it out on the road, as they proved on a regular basis towards the end of the regular season. Ultimately, this is an intriguing clash between two strong teams. 

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Philadelphia Union vs New York City Form

Philadelphia Union and New York City Latest Matches

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Latest matches
W W W L D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
0 :  3
Philadelphia Union

Oct 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
2 :  2
Chicago Fire

Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
2 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
New York City

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

DC United
0 :  6
Philadelphia Union

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
New England Revolution
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
2 :  2
Chicago Fire

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
New York City

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
New England Revolution

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
4 :  0
Chicago Fire

Aug 13, 2025 - US Open Cup

Philadelphia Union
3 :  2
New York Red Bulls

Aug 9, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  1
Toronto FC
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
0 :  3
Philadelphia Union

Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
2 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

DC United
0 :  6
Philadelphia Union

Sep 16, 2025 - US Open Cup

Nashville SC
3 :  1
Philadelphia Union

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps
7 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
0 :  1
Philadelphia Union
New York City
New York City Latest matches
W L L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 7, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
1 :  3
New York City

Nov 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  0
Charlotte FC

Oct 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
0 :  1
New York City

Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  2
Seattle Sounders

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
New York City

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
2 :  3
New York City
L W W L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  0
Charlotte FC

Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  2
Seattle Sounders

Sep 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  4
Inter Miami

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
2 :  0
Charlotte FC

Sep 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
3 :  2
Columbus Crew

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  2
DC United
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 7, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
1 :  3
New York City

Oct 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
0 :  1
New York City

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
New York City

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
2 :  3
New York City

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  3
New York City

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
0 :  1
New York City

Philadelphia Union against New York City : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Union

67 %

Draw

0 %

New York City

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
New York City

Apr 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Sep 18, 2024 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  5
Philadelphia Union

May 15, 2024 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  2
New York City

Jul 15, 2023 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
2 :  1
New York City

May 27, 2023 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  3
Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union - New York City: Form Analysis

Subaru Park is one tough place to go, make no mistake about that. The hosts have not lost in front of a home crowd since March, while they don't often fail to win either, winning three of their last four at home in regulation time, while they've also won eight of their last ten at home. 

On the road, the visitors got it done last time out, beating Charlotte by three goals to one. That resulted followed a single-goal win against the same opponent, while we're also taking about a team that has beaten the likes of the Red Bulls, the Fire and Cincinnati on the road in recent times. 

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Philadelphia Union against New York City Lineups: Starting 11

Philadelphia Union

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

18
A. Blake
26
N. Harriel
5
J. Glesnes
29
O. Makhanya
27
K. Wagner
32
M. Iloski
21
D. Jean Jacques
4
J. Lukic
19
I. Vassilev
9
T. Baribo
20
B. Damiani
7
N. Fernandez Mercau
17
H. Wolf
80
J. Haak
32
J. Shore
10
M. Moralez
22
K. O'Toole
34
Raul Gustavo
13
T. Martins
24
T. Gray
26
A. Ojeda
49
M. Freese

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

New York City

Substitutes

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
Goalkeeper

A. Rick

A. Blake 60'

Defender

F. Westfield

J. Lukic 61'

O. Mbaizo

Midfielder

B. Bender

C. Sullivan

D. Jean Jacques 83'

J. Bueno

I. Vassilev 69'

A. Bedoya

Forward

J. Rafanello

M. Uhre

T. Baribo 61'

New York City
New York City
Goalkeeper

T. Romero

Defender

M. Ilenic

H. Wolf 78'

N. Cavallo

S. Tanasijevic

M. Moralez 88'

Midfielder

S. Musu

M. Carrizo

Forward

S. Reid

J. Fernandez

N. Fernandez Mercau 90'

M. Murray

Missing players

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
New York City
New York City
Midfielder

K. Parks

Forward

M. Jones

Philadelphia Union & New York City Squad Analysis

The hosts will continue to be without the services of Ian Glavinovich, who is out with a knee injury, while forward Quinn Sullivan is also sidelined at present. Bradley Carnell's men should otherwise be at full strength. 

The visitors have a few minor injury concerns. Promising youngster Maximo Carrizo, who recently featured at the U17 World Cup, is out, as is Malachi Jones. More importantly, Aiden O'Neill is suspended, while Keaton Alexander Parks, who sustained an injury back in May, continues on the sidelines too. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Philadelphia Union
CD Huachipato New York City
Top Goalscorer
Israel T. Baribo (18 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Costa Rica A. Martinez (19 Goals)
Best assists
Germany K. Wagner (11 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina M. Moralez (7 Assists)

Philadelphia Union - New York City Key Points

  1. When NYCFC last played against the Philadelphia Union, Hannes Wolf registered a shot on target.
  2. Hannes Wolf registered at least one shot on target both home and away against the Union during the regular season.
  3. Only one NYCFC player has taken more shots than Hannes Wolf this season.
  4. Hannes Wolfs averages 2.09 shots per 90 minutes in 2025.
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Our Philadelphia Union vs New York City Prediction

During the regular season, Hannes Wolf twice looked comfortable on the break against the Union, registering shots on target both home and away against Sunday's opponents, which bodes well. 

Wolf also registered shots on target away against the likes of Cincinnati and Nashville, showing that he can rise to the occaion in away games of this nature. 

Our Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Pick: Hannes Wolf +1 Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Hannes Wolf +1 Shots On Target

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Philadelphia Union vs New York City - Other Interesting Picks

Hannes Wolf to Score or Assist

Odds +165

I also like the looks of 'Hannes Wolf to Score or Assist'. The Austrian winger/forward hasn't always delivered the goods for NYCFC this season, but when he's on it, he's often too hot to handle, while he favors playing on the break, which is an option that should be open to him away against a forward-pushing Philly team. 

In Major League Soccer during 2025, Wolf averages a promising 0.55 goals and assists per 90 minutes, which makes odds of +165 look a little too sizable for my liking. 

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Philadelphia Union vs New York City match : Frequently asked questions

This hugely important playoff game will be played at Subaru Park, located in Chester, Pennsylvania.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Philadelphia Union vs New York City Picks