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by Bradley Gibbs in Major League Soccer Picks
The fourth and final conference semifinal to take place this weekend sees the Philadelphia Union take on New York City FC at Subaru Park, where the hosts have not tasted defeat since March. Clearly, the Union boys know how to make life very tough for their opponents when playing in front of a home crowd, so the visitors really do have their work cut out here.
We know that the NYCFC boys can grind out results, they did that against Charlotte during the best-of-three series, and any team that can outlast Dean Smith's men shoud be feared. Moreover, the visitors are very, very good and toughing it out on the road, as they proved on a regular basis towards the end of the regular season. Ultimately, this is an intriguing clash between two strong teams.
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Philadelphia Union vs New York City Form
Philadelphia Union and New York City Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2025 - US Open Cup
Aug 9, 2025 - Major League Soccer
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2025 - US Open Cup
Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 7, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Nov 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 7, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union against New York City : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2024 - Major League Soccer
May 15, 2024 - Major League Soccer
Jul 15, 2023 - Major League Soccer
May 27, 2023 - Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union - New York City: Form Analysis
Subaru Park is one tough place to go, make no mistake about that. The hosts have not lost in front of a home crowd since March, while they don't often fail to win either, winning three of their last four at home in regulation time, while they've also won eight of their last ten at home.
On the road, the visitors got it done last time out, beating Charlotte by three goals to one. That resulted followed a single-goal win against the same opponent, while we're also taking about a team that has beaten the likes of the Red Bulls, the Fire and Cincinnati on the road in recent times.
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New York City v Philadelphia Union last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
J. Rafanello
N. Cavallo
MidfielderK. Parks
ForwardM. Jones
Philadelphia Union & New York City Squad Analysis
The hosts will continue to be without the services of Ian Glavinovich, who is out with a knee injury, while forward Quinn Sullivan is also sidelined at present. Bradley Carnell's men should otherwise be at full strength.
The visitors have a few minor injury concerns. Promising youngster Maximo Carrizo, who recently featured at the U17 World Cup, is out, as is Malachi Jones. More importantly, Aiden O'Neill is suspended, while Keaton Alexander Parks, who sustained an injury back in May, continues on the sidelines too.
Most goals and assists
Philadelphia Union
New York City
T. Baribo
(18 Goals)
A. Martinez
(19 Goals)
K. Wagner
(11 Assists)
M. Moralez
(6 Assists)
Philadelphia Union - New York City Key Points
- When NYCFC last played against the Philadelphia Union, Hannes Wolf registered a shot on target.
- Hannes Wolf registered at least one shot on target both home and away against the Union during the regular season.
- Only one NYCFC player has taken more shots than Hannes Wolf this season.
- Hannes Wolfs averages 2.09 shots per 90 minutes in 2025.
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Our Philadelphia Union vs New York City Prediction
During the regular season, Hannes Wolf twice looked comfortable on the break against the Union, registering shots on target both home and away against Sunday's opponents, which bodes well.
Wolf also registered shots on target away against the likes of Cincinnati and Nashville, showing that he can rise to the occaion in away games of this nature.
Our Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Pick: Hannes Wolf +1 Shots on Target.
Philadelphia Union vs New York City - Other Interesting Picks
Hannes Wolf to Score or Assist
I also like the looks of 'Hannes Wolf to Score or Assist'. The Austrian winger/forward hasn't always delivered the goods for NYCFC this season, but when he's on it, he's often too hot to handle, while he favors playing on the break, which is an option that should be open to him away against a forward-pushing Philly team.
In Major League Soccer during 2025, Wolf averages a promising 0.55 goals and assists per 90 minutes, which makes odds of +165 look a little too sizable for my liking.
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Philadelphia Union vs New York City match : Frequently asked questions
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