San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

San Diego Padres
5/25/26 18:40
Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction:

 

Philadelphia to win

-125
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 by Bill Christy | in MLB Picks

Two teams that have hit a rough patch lately will meet for a 3-game set in sunny San Diego. The Padres (31-21) will host the Philadelphia Phillies (26-27).

The Phillies have been rolling since Don Mattingly took over as manager. But have lost 4 of their last 5 games and have seen their bats go ice cold. Many are pointing to the fact that this lineup is just going to struggle against lefty starting pitching. Their lone win over the last 5 games came against a righty in Cleveland’s Slade Cecconi. They will look to turn things around as they face a righty here in game one of the series with San Diego. The Padres will start Randy Vasquez in this one. The righty is 5-2 with a sub-3.00 ERA. He is coming off a rough start against the Dodgers, where he was lifted after 4 innings. He allowed 3 runs, walked 3, and did not pick up a single strikeout. While pitching is likely to be the main story in this contest, there is a story within the story in this series.

The Padres picked up Nick Castellanos after the Phillies let him go this offseason. There was some bad blood between Casty and the Phillies’ former manager, but there may still be some motivation for him to get back at his old ball club. That might be hard to do, considering the fact that he is batting just .190 on the season.

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
7 San Diego Padres
0.542 59 32 27
14 Philadelphia Phillies
0.517 60 31 29

San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 24, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  5
Athletics

May 23, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  0
Athletics

May 22, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  3
Athletics

May 20, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

May 19, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

May 18, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  0
Los Angeles Dodgers
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 24, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  5
Athletics

May 23, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  0
Athletics

May 22, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  3
Athletics

May 20, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

May 19, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

May 18, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  0
Los Angeles Dodgers
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
3 :  8
San Diego Padres

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
4 :  7
San Diego Padres

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
0 :  2
San Diego Padres

May 14, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7 :  1
San Diego Padres

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
1 :  3
San Diego Padres

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  4
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 24, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

May 23, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  0
Cleveland Guardians

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

May 18, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  4
Cincinnati Reds
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 24, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

May 23, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  0
Cleveland Guardians

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

May 18, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  4
Cincinnati Reds
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies

May 14, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

San Diego Padres against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)

San Diego Padres

50 %

Philadelphia Phillies

50 %

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  0
San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points

  1. Philadelphia is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing as the favorite.
  2. Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National League West Division.
  3. San Diego is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games against Philadelphia.
  4. San Diego is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.

Our San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are dying to break out of this mini hitting slump, and this could be the recipe for doing just that. They have had success in the warm weather of San Diego and will get to face a righty in this contest. They will also start Jesus Luzardo, who has looked good in his last two starts. He held the Red Sox scoreless through 6 innings and then gave up just 2 runs in 6 innings against the Reds.

Our prediction for San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies: Philadelphia to win

Prediction:

 

Philadelphia to win

-125
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San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks