San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

San Diego Padres
7/11/25 21:40
Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8

-109
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies will continue their West Coast road trip with a three-game series in San Diego vs. the Padres at Petco Park. Game 1 of the series will get underway tonight, and fans can catch the action on the MLB Network at 9:40 p.m. EST.

Philadelphia’s road trip began in San Francisco with a three-game series vs. the Giants. It did not get off to a good start for the Phillies as they lost the first game 3-1 and the second game 4-3. But they made a solid statement in the series finale, winning 13-0. The Padres have gone 4-3 during their current homestand, winning two vs. the Rangers and going 2-2 vs. the D-backs.

This game may turn into a pitcher’s duel with the guys taking the mound to start. For Philly, it’s Ranger Suarez. He’s got a 7-2 record in 12 starts with a 1.99 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. He’s been at his best on the road, going 4-2 in six starts with a 1.06 ERA and .177 OBA. The Padres are set to go with Ryan Bergert, fresh off the DL. He has gone 1-0 in five starts (nine appearances) with a 2.67 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. However, he has not been great at home this season. In two appearances, including one start, he has a 6.75 ERA (four innings) and a .333 OBA.

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Philadelphia Phillies
0.593 162 96 66
7 San Diego Padres
0.556 162 90 72

San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  8
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  0
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  6
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  1
Texas Rangers

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  7
Texas Rangers
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  8
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  0
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  6
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  1
Texas Rangers

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  7
Texas Rangers
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  0
San Diego Padres

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  2
San Diego Padres

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Jun 19, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  5
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
0 :  13
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
4 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  9
Cincinnati Reds
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  0
San Diego Padres
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
0 :  13
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
4 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
0 :  13
Philadelphia Phillies

San Diego Padres against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)

San Diego Padres

33 %

Philadelphia Phillies

67 %

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  0
San Diego Padres

Jun 19, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  5
San Diego Padres

Jun 18, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jun 17, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  2
San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points

  1. The Phillies lead the all-time series with the Padres 295-228.
  2. San Diego is 29-17 at home; Philadelphia is 24-23 on the road.
  3. In 82 at-bats against Suarez, the Padres' lineup has hit .305.
  4. Betting Public: 46% of total tickets and 61% of the handle are on the UNDER.

Our San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

This should be a pretty competitive game between two of MLB’s better teams, but I expect it to be a relatively low-scoring game. Nothing against either team’s lineup, but Ranger Suarez has been incredible; he gave up six runs across six starts in June for an ERA of 1.30 and got July off to a solid start with a one-run effort against the Reds (July 5). Bergert does not have the body of work that Suarez does, but has pitched well everywhere but San Diego. In his one home start, he got pulled after three innings, giving up five hits and three runs.

Both pitchers are solid and will do well in this game, keeping the score low.

Our Reds vs. Padres Pick: UNDER 8

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8

-109
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San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks