Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB
USA - MLB
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
Losers in their last four assignments, the Miami Marlins head back to loanDepot Park in Saturday’s Game 2 as +133 home underdogs against the best team in their division, the Philadelphia Phillies.
Current Form:
The Phillies are 3-1 in their last four games, winning their last two games against Milwaukee 2-0 and Miami 9-3. At 82-59, the Phillies are holding a 6-game lead on their closest trailers, the 76-65 New York Mets. Despite losing starter Zach Wheeler and several key cogs in their bullpen to injuries, Philadelphia continues to dominate on the mound, posting a 3.89 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in their last five games. Also in the same stretch, the Phillies have averaged 5.0 runs per game on a .286 batting average, which is right around the ballpark of their season averages (4.9 runs per game on a .259 BA).
The Marlins have lost their last four games, including a 3-9 bummer in Friday’s series opener vs. the Phillies. Miami is third in the NL East with a 65-76 slate, though their chance of staging a late-season push toward the playoffs is very dim since they are trailing the Mets, the second-best team in their division and current holder of the third wild card, by 11 games with barely three weeks left in the season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.593 | 162 | 96 | 66 |
|
19
|
0.488 | 162 | 79 | 83 |
Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 2, 2025 - MLB
Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
Aug 26, 2025 - MLB
Aug 25, 2025 - MLB
Aug 24, 2025 - MLB
Aug 23, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 2, 2025 - MLB
Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
Aug 29, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
Aug 29, 2025 - MLB
Aug 28, 2025 - MLB
Aug 24, 2025 - MLB
Aug 23, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
Aug 26, 2025 - MLB
Miami Marlins against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Jun 18, 2025 - MLB
Jun 17, 2025 - MLB
Jun 16, 2025 - MLB
Apr 20, 2025 - MLB
Apr 19, 2025 - MLB
Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami.
- Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
- Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Our Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies to dominate the Marlins again, covering the -1.5 run spread. Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami. In their last three meeting, Philadelphia has also averaged 5.00 runs per game while Miami has only scored an average of 2.00 runs per contest.
After holding Atlanta scoreless through 6.2 innings in a 1-3 loss to Atlanta last August 31, Jesus Luzardo returns to the mound seeking a win in his first pitching stint against Miami. Luzardo, who carries a 2.83 ERA across his last five starts, is expected to shine against Miami’s batting corps, which is averaging 3.0 runs per game on a .207 BA. Miami’s Sandy Alcantara has been amazing recently with a 2.81 ERA across his last five starts. However, it is worth noting that Alcantara has lost his last three meetings against the Phillies. One of which is a game where he surrendered 6 earned runs in 2 innings, resulting in Miami’s 2-7 loss to the Phillies on April 18.
Our betting prediction for the Miami Marlins vs. the Philadelphia Phillies: the Phillies -1.5 Runs.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.