Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Miami Marlins
9/6/25 16:10
Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction:

 

The Phillies -1.5 Runs

+108
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

Losers in their last four assignments, the Miami Marlins head back to loanDepot Park in Saturday’s Game 2 as +133 home underdogs against the best team in their division, the Philadelphia Phillies.

Current Form:

The Phillies are 3-1 in their last four games, winning their last two games against Milwaukee 2-0 and Miami 9-3. At 82-59, the Phillies are holding a 6-game lead on their closest trailers, the 76-65 New York Mets. Despite losing starter Zach Wheeler and several key cogs in their bullpen to injuries, Philadelphia continues to dominate on the mound, posting a 3.89 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in their last five games. Also in the same stretch, the Phillies have averaged 5.0 runs per game on a .286 batting average, which is right around the ballpark of their season averages (4.9 runs per game on a .259 BA).

The Marlins have lost their last four games, including a 3-9 bummer in Friday’s series opener vs. the Phillies. Miami is third in the NL East with a 65-76 slate, though their chance of staging a late-season push toward the playoffs is very dim since they are trailing the Mets, the second-best team in their division and current holder of the third wild card, by 11 games with barely three weeks left in the season.

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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Philadelphia Phillies
0.593 162 96 66
19 Miami Marlins
0.488 162 79 83

Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
10 :  5
Miami Marlins

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  2
Miami Marlins

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  0
Miami Marlins

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  11
Miami Marlins
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  12
Atlanta Braves

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  11
Atlanta Braves

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
10 :  5
Miami Marlins

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  2
Miami Marlins

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  0
Miami Marlins

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  11
Miami Marlins

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
19 :  9
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
0 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  10
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
19 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  2
Washington Nationals

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  4
Washington Nationals
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
0 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  10
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Miami Marlins against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Marlins

33 %

Philadelphia Phillies

67 %

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 18, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 17, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 16, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 20, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  7
Miami Marlins

Apr 19, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  10
Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points

  1. Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami.
  2. Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
  3. Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
  4. Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
Up to $250 to bet on Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Phillies to dominate the Marlins again, covering the -1.5 run spread. Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami. In their last three meeting, Philadelphia has also averaged 5.00 runs per game while Miami has only scored an average of 2.00 runs per contest.

After holding Atlanta scoreless through 6.2 innings in a 1-3 loss to Atlanta last August 31, Jesus Luzardo returns to the mound seeking a win in his first pitching stint against Miami. Luzardo, who carries a 2.83 ERA across his last five starts, is expected to shine against Miami’s batting corps, which is averaging 3.0 runs per game on a .207 BA. Miami’s Sandy Alcantara has been amazing recently with a 2.81 ERA across his last five starts. However, it is worth noting that Alcantara has lost his last three meetings against the Phillies. One of which is a game where he surrendered 6 earned runs in 2 innings, resulting in Miami’s 2-7 loss to the Phillies on April 18.

Our betting prediction for the Miami Marlins vs. the Philadelphia Phillies: the Phillies -1.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

The Phillies -1.5 Runs

+108
$250 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks