Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 7/12/26, 3:10 AM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 7/12/26 at 3:12 AM in MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Detroit Tigers square off in what could be another low-scoring affair in Sunday’s Game 3.

Current Form:

The Detroit Tigers’ six-game winning streak came to an end after losing to the Phillies, 2-4, in Game 2. Over their last five games, the Tigers have posted an impressive 1.40 ERA and averaged 6.1 runs per game on a .245 batting average. Detroit still sits at fourth place in the AL Central standings with a 44-51 record, 5.5 games below the pace setters, the Chicago White Sox (49-45).

The Philadelphia Phillies have claimed their third win in five games. Despite posting a 4.81 ERA and averaging 3.2 runs per game over their last five assignments, the Phillies have managed to come away with close wins during this rough stretch, thanks to clutch hitting and closeouts by their relief pitchers.

Starting Pitchers:

Tigers LHP Skubal (5-4, 3.06 ERA) has allowed one earned run in each of his last two starts and pitched to a 3.62 ERA over his last five mound appearances.

Phillies LHP Zach Wheeler (9-1, 2.28 ERA) has commanded a 2.37 ERA over his last five starts. Over his last two starts, Wheeler has racked up 24 Ks and allowed four earned runs.

The Matchup: The Phillies have won 7 of their last 10 meetings with the Tigers. The defense has prevailed in their recent meetings, with Philadelphia and Detroit averaging 6.67 combined runs over their last three faceoffs.