Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Detroit Tigers
7/10/26 18:40
Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction:

 

The Tigers -1.5 Runs

+158
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 by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

The Detroit Tigers and the Philadelphia Phillies open Game 1 of their weekend series on Friday.

Philadelphia has dominated the Tigers in their recent meetings, but Detroit have been destroying teams lately with its impeccable pitching and consistent offence.

Current Form:

The Detroit Tigers are scorching hot lately, winning their last five games and eight of their last nine games. The Pirates have commanded a 1.00 ERA and averaged 5.4 runs per game on a .226 clip, playing like a two-way juggernaut.

The Philadelphia Phillies came away with the series win after taking two of three games against the Cincinnati Reds. Second in the NL East with a 52-42 record, the Phillies have struggled on the mound over their last five games, posting a 6.86 ERA, with the bullpen giving up a 10.05 ERA.

Starting Pitchers:

Phillies RHP Aaron Nola (3-6, 5.87 ERA) has given up 11 earned runs over his last two starts. He has posted a 5.88 ERA over his last five outings.

Tigers RHP Jack Flaherty (2-8, 4.60 ERA) is coming off back-to-back shutouts against Houston and Texas. In fact, Flaherty has recorded three shutouts and sported a 1.90 ERA over his last five starts.

The Matchup: The Phillies have won 8 of their last 10 meetings with the Tigers, but again, it’s hard betting against the Tigers nowadays, especially at their current level.

Up to $250 to bet on Detroit Tigers - Philadelphia Phillies! 

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Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
6 Philadelphia Phillies
0.553 94 52 42
22 Detroit Tigers
0.462 93 43 50

Detroit Tigers and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 9, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  1
Athletics

Jul 8, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
6 :  1
Athletics

Jul 7, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
6 :  2
Athletics

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Texas Rangers
3 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Texas Rangers
0 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Texas Rangers
10 :  4
Detroit Tigers
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 9, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  1
Athletics

Jul 8, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
6 :  1
Athletics

Jul 7, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
6 :  2
Athletics

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  7
Houston Astros

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
6 :  8
Houston Astros

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
8 :  0
Houston Astros
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Texas Rangers
3 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Texas Rangers
0 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Texas Rangers
10 :  4
Detroit Tigers

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  9
Detroit Tigers

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  7
Detroit Tigers
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 9, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 8, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
11 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 7, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 6, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
15 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
10 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
8 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  11
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 21, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
15 :  3
New York Mets
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 9, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 8, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
11 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 7, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 6, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
15 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Detroit Tigers against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)

Detroit Tigers

67 %

Philadelphia Phillies

33 %

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  4
Detroit Tigers

Mar 16, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Detroit Tigers
13 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Feb 27, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Detroit Tigers
16 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Feb 25, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  7
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks

Detroit Tigers - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points

  1. Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
  2. Tigers RHP Jack Flaherty (2-8, 4.60 ERA) is coming off back-to-back shutouts against Houston and Texas.
  3. Phillies RHP Aaron Nola (3-6, 5.87 ERA) has given up 11 earned runs over his last two starts.
  4. The Tigers have commanded a 1.00 ERA and averaged 5.4 runs per game on a .226 clip over their last five games
Up to $250 to bet on Detroit Tigers - Philadelphia Phillies! 

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Our Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Fearless Forecast: The Tigers take down the Phillies, 7-2

The Difference Maker: Flaherty has the momentum and form coming into his next assignment against the Phillies, a team he has tormented in the past.

Flaherty has not allowed more than three runs in any of his last three starts against the Phillies. In his last outing against the team, Flaherty gave up one run over six innings in a 4-5 loss on August 1, 2025.

With the Tigers' offence pumping up 5.4 runs per game, Flaherty has an opportunity to get another win on the mound and enhance his record.

Nola could also deliver a quality start here, given that he has only allowed two runs across his last three starts against the Tigers. However, Philadelphia is averaging 2.6 runs on a .224 BA over its last five games.

What to Expect: Jack Flaherty dazzles anew, blanking the Phillies for seven scoreless innings. The Tigers will also get a steady injection of offense from their batters, while Philadelphia continue to struggle at the plate.

Our betting prediction for the Detroit Tigers vs. the Philadelphia Phillies: The Phillies -1.5 Runs

Prediction:

 

The Tigers -1.5 Runs

+158
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.