Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Detroit Tigers and the Philadelphia Phillies open Game 1 of their weekend series on Friday.
Philadelphia has dominated the Tigers in their recent meetings, but Detroit have been destroying teams lately with its impeccable pitching and consistent offence.
Current Form:
The Detroit Tigers are scorching hot lately, winning their last five games and eight of their last nine games. The Pirates have commanded a 1.00 ERA and averaged 5.4 runs per game on a .226 clip, playing like a two-way juggernaut.
The Philadelphia Phillies came away with the series win after taking two of three games against the Cincinnati Reds. Second in the NL East with a 52-42 record, the Phillies have struggled on the mound over their last five games, posting a 6.86 ERA, with the bullpen giving up a 10.05 ERA.
Starting Pitchers:
Phillies RHP Aaron Nola (3-6, 5.87 ERA) has given up 11 earned runs over his last two starts. He has posted a 5.88 ERA over his last five outings.
Tigers RHP Jack Flaherty (2-8, 4.60 ERA) is coming off back-to-back shutouts against Houston and Texas. In fact, Flaherty has recorded three shutouts and sported a 1.90 ERA over his last five starts.
The Matchup: The Phillies have won 8 of their last 10 meetings with the Tigers, but again, it’s hard betting against the Tigers nowadays, especially at their current level.
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Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
0.553 | 94 | 52 | 42 |
|
22
|
0.462 | 93 | 43 | 50 |
Detroit Tigers and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Detroit Tigers against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 16, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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Detroit Tigers - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
- Tigers RHP Jack Flaherty (2-8, 4.60 ERA) is coming off back-to-back shutouts against Houston and Texas.
- Phillies RHP Aaron Nola (3-6, 5.87 ERA) has given up 11 earned runs over his last two starts.
- The Tigers have commanded a 1.00 ERA and averaged 5.4 runs per game on a .226 clip over their last five games
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Our Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Tigers take down the Phillies, 7-2
The Difference Maker: Flaherty has the momentum and form coming into his next assignment against the Phillies, a team he has tormented in the past.
Flaherty has not allowed more than three runs in any of his last three starts against the Phillies. In his last outing against the team, Flaherty gave up one run over six innings in a 4-5 loss on August 1, 2025.
With the Tigers' offence pumping up 5.4 runs per game, Flaherty has an opportunity to get another win on the mound and enhance his record.
Nola could also deliver a quality start here, given that he has only allowed two runs across his last three starts against the Tigers. However, Philadelphia is averaging 2.6 runs on a .224 BA over its last five games.
What to Expect: Jack Flaherty dazzles anew, blanking the Phillies for seven scoreless innings. The Tigers will also get a steady injection of offense from their batters, while Philadelphia continue to struggle at the plate.
Our betting prediction for the Detroit Tigers vs. the Philadelphia Phillies: The Phillies -1.5 Runs
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