Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks
After being routed by the Royals and losing the last game of the series 1-15, the Phillies have quickly returned to winning form. Wheeler pitched a true gem, striking out a career-high 14, to lead Philadelphia to a 4-1 victory in the first game of the series against the Reds.
Don Mattingly's men have done a commendable job of cutting into the Braves' lead; they are now only two games behind Atlanta, a particularly impressive feat considering they started the season with a 9-19 record.
For the Reds, it was a day of just five hits at home, one of them Suárez's 10th home run of the season. Meanwhile, the Phillies tallied eight hits, including Kyle Schwarber's 31st, continuing his outstanding season in which he leads all of MLB in home runs.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
0.554 | 92 | 51 | 41 |
|
23
|
0.456 | 90 | 41 | 49 |
Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 7, 2026 - MLB
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Jul 1, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 2, 2026 - MLB
Jul 1, 2026 - MLB
Jun 30, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 7, 2026 - MLB
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Cincinnati Reds against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Jul 7, 2026 - MLB
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Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- Reds' collective batting average is second-worst in MLB at .228
- Phillies' pitching strikeout ratio is second-best in MLB at 9.78
- Phillies have a 26-20 road record this season
- Phillies and Reds' OPS is among the 10 worst in MLB this season
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Our Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Reds right-hander Chase Burns remains Cincinnati's most reliable pitcher this season, and he'll take the mound on Wednesday. Burns has rivaled Misiorowski as one of the hardest-throwing starting pitchers this season.
In fact, Burns ended up getting the win in a pitching duel against the Brewers' star. It's almost a guarantee that Chase will pitch at least five innings; he hasn't pitched at home since 2026, when he shut out the Mets for five innings.
Our prediction for Reds vs Phillies is: Under 8.5 runs.
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