Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5/12/26 18:45
Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction:

 

Philadelphia Phillies win the match

-149
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 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

Two of MLB's biggest box office draws, the Red Sox and Phillies, have losing records but a long season ahead to turn things around. They begin an intriguing series Tuesday at Fenway Park; Zack Wheeler is expected to start for Philadelphia, making them -149 favorites in the sportsbooks before Boston announces its starter.

The Red Sox, after firing Cora, got a breather in Detroit, securing their first sweep of the year. However, back at Fenway, the red-hot Rays gave the Red Sox a lesson in baseball. Not even rookie starter Tolle, who's getting all the attention in Boston, could stop Dominican slugger Caminero, who homered off him. Even so, Tolle didn't get the necessary support from his offense; the Red Sox stranded 18 runners on base.

The Phillies at least managed to win their last home series against the Rockies, improving their record to 19-22. After a slump, Kyle Schwarber's bat is back to its best. He racked up four home runs in the series against Colorado at Citi Field.

Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
7 Boston Red Sox
0.542 118 64 54
8 Philadelphia Phillies
0.529 119 63 56

Boston Red Sox and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
0 :  4
Boston Red Sox

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  10
Boston Red Sox

May 4, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  5
Boston Red Sox
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  3
Houston Astros

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  6
Houston Astros

May 1, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  1
Houston Astros
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
0 :  4
Boston Red Sox

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  10
Boston Red Sox

May 4, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Apr 27, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
0 :  5
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  0
Colorado Rockies

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
Colorado Rockies

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  9
Colorado Rockies

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  12
Athletics

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  3
Athletics

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  1
Athletics
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  0
Colorado Rockies

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
Colorado Rockies

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  9
Colorado Rockies

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  12
Athletics

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  3
Athletics

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  1
Athletics
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 4, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

May 1, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 26, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 25, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Boston Red Sox against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)

Boston Red Sox

50 %

Philadelphia Phillies

50 %

Mar 9, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Boston Red Sox
5 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Mar 5, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Jun 13, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
9 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 12, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 11, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks

Boston Red Sox - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points

  1. Harper hit his tenth home run of the season in Game 3 against the Rockies
  2. Phillies pitching struck out 10 in the previous game
  3. The Phillies' pitching staff has a K/9 ratio that's second-best in MLB
  4. The Phillies have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games

Our Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Phillies went through a bizarre ten-game losing streak earlier in the season, which Harper said he'd "never experienced in his career," but that's behind them now, and it seems only a matter of time before the Phillies even their record.

The Phillies won all of their May series against the Marlins, Athletics, and Rockies. To top it all off, it appears that Zack Wheeler is returning to his best form, having made two quality starts in his two previous outings.

Our prediction for Red Sox vs Phillies is: Phillies ML.

Prediction:

 

Philadelphia Phillies win the match

-149
$150 offered for betting!

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