Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Atlanta Braves
10/1/26 20:00
Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5 runs

-105
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 by Simon Day in MLB Picks

The epic Wild Card series between the Braves and the Phillies concludes on Thursday evening with a winner-takes-all contest at Truist Park. 

The Braves looked on course for a 2-0 series win when they opened up a 3-1 lead at the bottom of the seventh in Game Two. However, solo homers from Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber in the eighth drew the Phillies level, before a tenth inning homer from Alec Bohm gave the visitors a lead they would not relinquish. 

Game One was also a dramatic contest, as a three run homer from Braves baseman Austin Riley in the eighth turned the game on its head and gave Atlanta a 5-3 victory. 

Both teams have big decisions to make regarding their starting pitchers on Thursday night. The Braves need to decide whether to use Grant Holmes as their starter or in relief of either Brent Suter or Ray Kerr. Meanwhile, the Phillies have to decide whether to give Aaron Nola or Zach Wheeler the start. 

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Form

Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves Latest matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 30, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 29, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 27, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Sep 26, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  8
Atlanta Braves

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  0
Atlanta Braves

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  7
Cincinnati Reds
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 30, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 29, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
0 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 27, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Sep 26, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  8
Atlanta Braves

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  0
Atlanta Braves

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 30, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 29, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 27, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 26, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  12
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 27, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 26, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  12
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 30, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 29, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Atlanta Braves against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)

Atlanta Braves

50 %

Philadelphia Phillies

50 %

Sep 30, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 29, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
12 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 7, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  0
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks

Atlanta Braves - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points

  1. There have been over 7.5 runs in 4 of the Braves' last 5 games
  2. There have been over 7.5 runs in 4 of the Phillies' last 5 road games
  3. There have been over 7.5 runs in 4 of the last 5 Braves-Phillies games
  4. Both teams have scored at least 3 runs in 4 of the last 5 Braves-Phillies matchups

Our Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

This could be one of the best Wild Card games in years. But while excitement is virtually guaranteed at Truist Park on Thursday night, picking a winner is an extremely tough task. 

Given the uncertainty surrounding the starting pitchers, it is sensible to steer clear of any moneyline wagers and instead look at the run line. 

Both the Braves and Phillies are loaded with in-form big hitters, so regardless of who is on the mound, we are expecting plenty of runs.

There is some value in taking the longer odds on very high run lines, but the sensible option is to back the 1.95 on the game featuring at least eight runs. 

Our prediction for Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies is: Over 7.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5 runs

-105
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.