Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Prediction & Picks - WTA US Open
WTA - WTA US Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Paula Badosa marches into her 2026 US Open second-round match against Coco Gauff as a lucrative option at +135 to cover +4.5 games in the spread market.
Badosa defeated Gauff in their most recent meeting in Berlin while boasting a 5-3 record against the American.
Current Form:
Coco Gauff notched her 7th consecutive win after fending off Zeynep Sonmez, 6-3, 6-4. Gauff, who ruled the 2026 Cincinnati Open and reached the semifinals in Toronto, continued to deal heavy damage with her return game, breaking Sonmez three times behind 24 return points.
Badosa is off to a promising start at the US Open, scoring a confidence-boosting win over former top-10 player Daria Kasatkina, 6-1, 6-4. Badosa, who last played two months ago in Hamburg, outplayed Kasatkina from start to finish, as the Spaniard won 63 percent of her first serves and broke the Australian three times.
The Matchup: Gauff is the heavy favorite at -770, but don’t dare to sleep on Badosa, who boasts a 5-3 head-to-head record against the American.
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Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Form
Paula Badosa and Coco Gauff Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 1, 2026 - WTA US Open
Jul 24, 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open
Jul 23, 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open
Jul 22, 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open
Jul 18, 2026 - WTA Iasi Open
Jul 17, 2026 - WTA Iasi Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Sep 1, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 23, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 22, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 21, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 19, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 18, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Paula Badosa against Coco Gauff : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Jun 17, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jan 20, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Oct 5, 2024 - WTA China Open
May 13, 2024 - WTA Rome
Apr 29, 2023 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Oct 11, 2021 - WTA Indian Wells
Paula Badosa - Coco Gauff Key Points
- Coco Gauff is 26-7 on the hard court in 2026.
- Coco Gauff is 11-2 in second-round matches.
- Paula Badosa has 16 top-10 wins in her career.
- Paula Badosa owns a 63.9 percent win rate on the hard court.
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Our Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Prediction
Key Stats: Badosa shocked Gauff 1-6, 6-3, 6-2 in the second round of the 2026 Berlin Ladies Open. In that match, Badosa broke Gauff four times and secured several crucial points by attacking the latter’s second serves.
What to Expect: Badosa’s familiarity with Gauff’s game style will play out once again in this match, at least in the first set.
Although Gauff will eventually overcome an early crisis, a fast start from Badosa will enable the Spaniard to put up a decent showing against the world’s No.4 and in the process, cover +4.5 games in the spread line.
Fearless Forecast: Coco Gauff wins 3-6, 6-4, 6-4
Our betting prediction for Coco Gauff vs. Paula Badosa: Paula Badosa +4.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.