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Parma vs AC Milan Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Parma
11/8/25 14:45
AC Milan

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

-135
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 by Stephen Abiola in Serie A Picks

Parma will entertain AC Milan on Saturday night in a league game at Ennio Tardini Stadium. Parma has endured a slow start to the 2025-26 Serie A season, winning only one of its 10 assignments. This poor form leaves them in the 16th spot with seven points, only three points behind the bottom-placed Fiorentina. Carlos Cuesta's men have also lost their last two matches, including a 3-1 defeat at home to Bologna last weekend.

AC Milan, on the other hand, could be ready for a title run this year. The Rossoneri are third in the standings with 21 points, just a point behind the table-topping Napoli. After fighting hard to secure a 1-1 draw against Atalanta on the road, Milan went back to winning ways last weekend with a 1-0 win against Roma. They produced another defensive masterclass to keep a clean sheet despite seeing only 39% of the ball. Massimiliano Allegri will want a more convincing win this weekend.

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Parma vs AC Milan Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
AC Milan
AC Milan
21 10 6 3 1 8
17
Parma
Parma
7 10 1 4 5 -7

Parma and AC Milan Latest Matches

Parma
Parma Latest matches
W L D D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
Bologna

Oct 29, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Parma

Oct 25, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Como 1907

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Parma

Oct 4, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lecce

Sep 29, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Torino FC
D D W L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
Bologna

Oct 25, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Como 1907

Oct 4, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lecce

Sep 29, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Torino FC

Sep 24, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Parma
2 :  2
Spezia

Aug 30, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Atalanta
L L L D D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 29, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Parma

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Parma

Sep 21, 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  0
Parma

Sep 13, 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  0
Parma

Aug 24, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Parma

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Heidenheim
2 :  1
Parma
AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
W D W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

Oct 24, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

Oct 24, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna
D L W W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

Sep 20, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

Aug 29, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

Parma against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)

Parma

17 %

Draw

17 %

AC Milan

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Jan 26, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  2
Parma

Aug 24, 2024 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
AC Milan

Apr 10, 2021 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
AC Milan

Dec 13, 2020 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Parma

Jul 15, 2020 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Parma

Dec 1, 2019 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
AC Milan
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AC Milan v Parma last Lineups

Parma

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

31
Z. Suzuki
15
E. Del Prato
39
A. Circati
5
L. Valenti
24
C. Ordonez
10
A. Bernabe
16
M. Keita
8
N. Estevez
27
S. Britschgi
9
M. Pellegrino
7
A. Benedyczak
10
R. Leao
18
C. Nkunku
33
D. Bartesaghi
4
S. Ricci
14
L. Modric
19
Y. Fofana
56
A. Saelemaekers
31
S. Pavlovic
46
M. Gabbia
5
K. De Winter
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Missing players

Parma
Parma
Defender

E. Valeri

A. Circati

Midfielder

J. Ondrejka

G. Oristanio

C. Ordonez

N. Estevez

Forward

M. Frigan

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

Defender

F. Tomori

Midfielder

A. Rabiot

Forward

C. Balentien

S. Gimenez

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Parma
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Pellegrino (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (4 Goals)
Best assists
Poland A. Benedyczak (2 Assists)
Best assists
USA C. Pulisic (2 Assists) , 
Croatia L. Modric (2 Assists)

Parma and AC Milan Stats in Serie A

Parma
Parma
AC Milan
AC Milan
10%
Victories
60%
40%
Draw
30%
50%
Defeats
10%
1.7
Total goals per match
2.2
0.5
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.2
Goals conceded per match
0.7
30%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
Under 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
30%
No goals conceded
50%

Parma - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Parma won just once in their last 11 matches.
  2. AC Milan lost just once in their last 12 matches.
  3. The total goals went under 2.5 in three of the last four AC Milan away matches.
  4. The total goals went under 2.5 in three of the five AC Milan matches.
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Our Parma vs AC Milan Prediction

As expected, AC Milan are the warm betting favorites to bag the maximum points. Massimiliano Allegri has evidently transformed their style of play since joining in the summer. Milan is now conceding very little defensively, having managed to keep five clean sheets in their last 10 league matches. This could give them an upper hand against Parma, who have scored only five goals in the league. That's the fewest number of goals scored by any Serie A side this season. It's also worth mentioning that Milan has the head-to-head advantage, having lost to Parma just once in their last 10 meetings. We expect a 2-0 for AC Milan this weekend.

Our prediction for Parma vs AC Milan: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

-135
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Parma vs AC Milan Picks
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