Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Osasuna
5/12/26 15:30
Atletico Madrid

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Goals

-120
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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in LaLiga Picks

There’s some midweek LaLiga action to dive into this week. The last game on Tuesday will be held in the north of the country, where Osasuna and Atletico Madrid will meet. Heading into their final three fixtures, the hosts are still yearning for those desired European rankings, whilst Atletico Madrid have already secured UCL football for next season. At the available odds, Over 2.5 Goals seems more plausible than the early market portrays.

First thing’s first, both teams came out of the last round of fixtures in defeat, though Osasuna did net two on the road, plus Atletico were very unlucky with their outcome. They created significantly more chances than their opposition - 20 shots compared to three - producing a marvelous xG of 2.41, so they should be boosted by this performance despite the result, and they’ll be out to avenge this unjust scoreline. 

Although the same can’t be said for Osasuna, who created a measly xG last time out, the hosts do excel offensively more on home soil, in turn scoring a lot more goals, averaging 1.71 goals per home game, even with very impressive performances against the LaLiga giants.

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Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Atletico Madrid
69 38 21 6 11 +18
17 Osasuna
42 38 11 9 18 -6

Osasuna and Atletico Madrid Latest Matches

Osasuna
Osasuna Latest matches
D D L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
3 :  2
Osasuna

May 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Sevilla

Apr 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Osasuna

Apr 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Betis

Apr 5, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  2
Osasuna
W D W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Sevilla

Apr 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Betis

Mar 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  0
Girona

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  2
Mallorca

Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Real Madrid
D L L D L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
3 :  2
Osasuna

Apr 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Osasuna

Apr 5, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  2
Osasuna

Mar 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Osasuna

Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Osasuna

Feb 13, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  0
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
L W D W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 9, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

May 5, 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

May 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Apr 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid
L L D W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 9, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Apr 18, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Real Sociedad

Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Barcelona
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 5, 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

May 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Apr 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Apr 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League

Barcelona
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Mar 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Osasuna against Atletico Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Osasuna

33 %

Draw

0 %

Atletico Madrid

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna

May 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Jan 12, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna

May 19, 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  4
Osasuna

Sep 28, 2023 - LaLiga

Osasuna
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

May 21, 2023 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Osasuna

Osasuna against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Osasuna

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
A. Fernandez
19
V. Rosier
22
F. Boyomo
24
A. Catena
20
J. Galan
7
J. Moncayola
6
L. Torro
14
R. Garcia
16
M. Gomez
18
R. Moro
17
A. Budimir
22
A. Lookman
7
A. Griezmann
11
T. Almada
6
Koke
4
R. Martinez Moya
21
O. Vargas
3
M. Ruggeri
17
D. Hancko
18
M. Pubill
14
M. Llorente
1
J. Musso

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Atletico Madrid

Substitutes

Osasuna
Osasuna
Goalkeeper

D. Stamatakis

R. Fernandez

Defender

J. Cruz

J. Herrando

Midfielder

A. Bretones

J. Galan 60'

A. Osambela

M. Gomez 72'

I. Munoz

Forward

K. Barja

R. Moro 37'

R. Garcia

R. Garcia 60'

I. Arguibide

I. Benito

A. Oroz

L. Torro 72'

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Esquivel Gamez

J. Oblak

Defender

R. Le Normand

R. Martinez Moya 18'

R. Belaid

J. Bonar

A. Puric

C. Lenglet

A. Lookman 82'

Midfielder

J. Diaz

J. Morcillo

Forward

A. Sorloth

T. Almada 46'

M. Llorente

I. Luque Sierra

Missing players

Osasuna
Osasuna
Goalkeeper

S. Herrera

Forward

V. Munoz

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

J. Gimenez

N. Molina

Midfielder

N. Gonzalez

A. Baena

J. Cardoso

P. Barrios

Forward

J. Alvarez

G. Simeone

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Osasuna
CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Croatia A. Budimir (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway A. Sorloth (13 Goals)
Best assists
Spain R. Garcia (5 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina G. Simeone (6 Assists)

Osasuna - Atletico Madrid Key Points

  1. Osasuna has not failed to find the net at home all season.
  2. The hosts have the third highest number of home games with both teams netting.
  3. Atletico Madrid have scored eight goals in their last five LaLiga games on the road.
  4. The visiting team showed lots of quality last time out, despite failing to find the net.
  5. Osasuna has a good trend of scoring goals when hosting the top LaLiga teams.
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Our Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Los Rojillos have scored in every single home game to date, and have even done very well when facing the big dogs: they’ve scored multiple goals against Real Madrid, Betis, Villarreal, Celta Vigo and Getafe, whilst not yet managing to keep any of the big teams out.

Osasuna have encountered some annoying results in their last couple of matches and they’ll be very eager to make up for this, knowing they’re almost there in the top spots for the final three games, and also aware that they favor playing in front of a home crowd. This will mean space for the visitors too, though, who are out to also make up for their disappointing affair at the weekend. Expect goals. 

Our Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Pick: Over 2.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Goals

-120
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Picks