Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
3/16/25 21:00
Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction:

 

Over 233.5

 

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 by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Milwaukee Bucks are set to clash in an exciting cross-conference matchup on Sunday, with both teams playing on the second night of a back-to-back. This highly anticipated showdown will showcase a battle between two MVP frontrunners, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Giannis Antetokounmpo, as both teams look to continue their strong recent form.

This marks the second and final meeting between these teams in the regular season. The Thunder dominated the Bucks in their previous encounter, securing a commanding 125-96 victory. However, Milwaukee was significantly short-handed in that contest, missing key players, including Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard. With both superstars back in the lineup, the Bucks are expected to put up a far stronger fight this time around.

Oklahoma City enters this game riding a wave of momentum, having won nine of their last 10 games. Their latest victory came against the Detroit Pistons, a hard-fought 113-107 road win. Meanwhile, the Bucks have also been in excellent form, winning 10 of their last 14 games. They come into this contest on a two-game winning streak after defeating the Indiana Pacers 126-119.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1 Oklahoma City Thunder
0.829 82 68 14 4
11 Milwaukee Bucks
0.585 82 48 34 8

Milwaukee Bucks and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks Latest matches
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 15, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
126 :  119
Indiana Pacers

Mar 13, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
126 :  106
Los Angeles Lakers

Mar 11, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
115 :  114
Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 9, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
100 :  112
Cleveland Cavaliers

Mar 8, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
109 :  111
Orlando Magic

Mar 5, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
137 :  107
Dallas Mavericks
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 15, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
126 :  119
Indiana Pacers

Mar 13, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
126 :  106
Los Angeles Lakers

Mar 9, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
100 :  112
Cleveland Cavaliers

Mar 8, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
109 :  111
Orlando Magic

Mar 5, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
137 :  107
Dallas Mavericks

Feb 27, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
121 :  112
Denver Nuggets
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 11, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
115 :  114
Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 4, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
121 :  127
Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 1, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
117 :  132
Milwaukee Bucks

Feb 25, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
100 :  97
Milwaukee Bucks

Feb 21, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
101 :  104
Milwaukee Bucks

Feb 12, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
101 :  103
Milwaukee Bucks
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 15, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
107 :  113
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 12, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
112 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 10, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  140
Denver Nuggets

Mar 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  103
Denver Nuggets

Mar 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  89
Portland Trail Blazers

Mar 5, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
103 :  120
Oklahoma City Thunder
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 10, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  140
Denver Nuggets

Mar 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  103
Denver Nuggets

Mar 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  89
Portland Trail Blazers

Mar 3, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
137 :  128
Houston Rockets

Feb 24, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
128 :  131
Minnesota Timberwolves

Feb 12, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  101
Miami Heat
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 15, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
107 :  113
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 12, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
112 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 5, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
103 :  120
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 2, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
132 :  146
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 28, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
119 :  135
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 26, 2025 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
121 :  129
Oklahoma City Thunder

Milwaukee Bucks against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)

Milwaukee Bucks

67 %

Oklahoma City Thunder

33 %

Feb 3, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  96
Milwaukee Bucks

Dec 17, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
81 :  97
Milwaukee Bucks

Apr 12, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  107
Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 24, 2024 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
118 :  93
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 9, 2022 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
132 :  136
Milwaukee Bucks

Nov 5, 2022 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
108 :  94
Oklahoma City Thunder

Players list

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
B. Lopez

D. Lillard

G. Antetokounmpo

T. Prince

K. Kuzma

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
C. Holmgren K. Williams I. Hartenstein S. Gilgeous-Alexander

C. Wallace

Substitutes

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
A. Jackson Jr. K. Porter G. Trent Jr. J. Sims

A. Green

R. Rollins

P. Connaughton

C. Livingston

P. Nance

T. Smith

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder

I. Joe

A. Flagler

A. Caruso

A. Wiggins

J. Williams

D. Jones

O. Dieng

Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points

  1. The Thunder are 40-24-4 ATS this season
  2. The Bucks are 32-33-2 ATS this season
  3. The Thunder are 12-0 in their last 12 night games vs. Eastern Conference teams
  4. The Bucks are 1-8 in their last 9 games when home underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back

Our Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Fatigue could play a factor, as both teams are coming off games the previous night. However, the Thunder may have an edge in terms of depth, especially if Jalen Williams remains sidelined. OKC will also benefit from the presence of Chet Holmgren, who provides defensive versatility and could be crucial in containing Antetokounmpo’s inside scoring.

Defensively, the Thunder have been one of the league’s best units, boasting an NBA-best defensive rating of 107.2 points allowed per 100 possessions. They also excel at forcing turnovers, leading the league in turnover percentage (10.4%) and defensive turnover percentage (15.2%). These strengths have made them one of the most consistent teams in covering the spread, as they hold a league-best 42-22-4 ATS record.

Milwaukee’s offensive strategy revolves around its three-point shooting and Giannis’ ability to dominate in the paint. However, given the Thunder’s ability to defend at a high level and their strong recent performances, they appear well-positioned to challenge the Bucks once again. Having already secured a 29-point blowout win over Milwaukee earlier this season, OKC has the tools to come out on top once more. Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: Thunder to win and cover.

Prediction:

 

Over 233.5

 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks