Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Lou Aguila in NBA Picks
The Oklahoma City Thunder will try to overcome a -4.5-point handicap as they play the Memphis Grizzlies without the reigning NBA MVP, Shai-Gilgeous Alexander.
Best Pick: The Thunder -5.5 points
Potential Payout: $215 on $115 Bet at DraftKings
Current Form:
The Thunder escaped with a 129-125 overtime win against the relentless Utah Jazz on January 7. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dropped 46 points on 14-for-26 shooting to lead the charge for OKC. Unfortunately, the MVP is expected to miss Friday’s ballgame vs. the Grizzlies because of an ankle sprain.
The Grizzlies plunged to their fifth loss in six games following a 98-117 blowout loss to the Phoenix Suns on January 7. Jaren Jackson Jr. recorded 19 points, while Cam Spencer, Kentavious-Caldwell Pope, and Javon Small each scored 14 points. Memphis is again missing the service of its starting point guard, Ja Morant, who is nursing a calf injury.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.821 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 2 |
|
10
|
0.436 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 1 |
Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 7, 2026 - NBA
Jan 5, 2026 - NBA
Jan 4, 2026 - NBA
Jan 2, 2026 - NBA
Dec 31, 2025 - NBA
Dec 29, 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 7, 2026 - NBA
Jan 5, 2026 - NBA
Dec 31, 2025 - NBA
Dec 29, 2025 - NBA
Dec 28, 2025 - NBA
Dec 25, 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 4, 2026 - NBA
Jan 2, 2026 - NBA
Dec 23, 2025 - NBA
Dec 19, 2025 - NBA
Dec 7, 2025 - NBA
Dec 2, 2025 - NBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jan 7, 2026 - NBA
Jan 6, 2026 - NBA
Jan 4, 2026 - NBA
Jan 2, 2026 - NBA
Dec 30, 2025 - NBA
Dec 28, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 7, 2026 - NBA
Jan 6, 2026 - NBA
Dec 30, 2025 - NBA
Dec 26, 2025 - NBA
Dec 20, 2025 - NBA
Dec 12, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 4, 2026 - NBA
Jan 2, 2026 - NBA
Dec 28, 2025 - NBA
Dec 23, 2025 - NBA
Dec 22, 2025 - NBA
Dec 17, 2025 - NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder against Memphis Grizzlies : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Dec 22, 2025 - NBA
Nov 9, 2025 - NBA
Jul 5, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Apr 26, 2025 - NBA
Apr 24, 2025 - NBA
Apr 22, 2025 - NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder - Memphis Grizzlies Key Points
- Oklahoma City is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games against Memphis.
- Oklahoma City is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
- Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
- Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Thunder return to form to beat the Grizzlies 125-116
Reasoning: The Thunder will surely miss Shai-Gilgeous Alexander and his 31.9 points per game production. However, I really believe OKC will still be hard to beat because of their depth. With their MVP sitting out, the Thunder still has capable scorers like Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren to take the lead on offense. Moreover, OKC is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games against Memphis. The Grizzlies are also not in tip-top form to threaten even a Shai-less Thunder because of their 1-4 record in their last five game. Sure, they can pull off shockers from time to time, just like they did against the Spurs early this week. But again, the Grizz are the defending NBA champions. It would still take a hell of a game for them to take down the Thunder.
Our betting prediction for the OKC Thunder vs. the Memphis Grizzlies: The Thunder -5.5 points
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
