Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Indianapolis Colts
10/5/25 13:00
Las Vegas Raiders

Prediction:

 

Over 48.5

-107
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks

The Las Vegas Raiders will travel to Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday to take on the Indianapolis Colts in a key AFC matchup between two teams trending in opposite directions. The Raiders enter Week 5 with a disappointing 1-3 record, having dropped three consecutive games after a heartbreaking 25-24 loss to the Chicago Bears. That defeat came in dramatic fashion, as kicker Daniel Carlson’s 54-yard field goal attempt to win the game was blocked in the final moments.

Despite showing flashes of offensive potential, Las Vegas continues to struggle in critical moments, failing to sustain drives or capitalize in the red zone. Through four games, inconsistency has plagued both sides of the ball, as the Raiders’ offensive line has allowed too much pressure while the defense has failed to create enough stops.

The Indianapolis Colts, meanwhile, have been one of the pleasant surprises of the season. Despite a 27-20 road loss to the Los Angeles Rams last week, Indianapolis remains in first place in the AFC South with a 3-1 record.

Quarterback Daniel Jones has been the catalyst for the Colts’ offensive resurgence, helping the team average an impressive 30.75 points per game. His dual-threat ability has opened up running lanes and created balance in the offense, which is averaging over 136 rushing yards per contest.

The Colts’ offensive line has also provided solid protection, allowing Jones to distribute the ball effectively to a deep group of receivers. Even with the Week 4 loss, this Indianapolis team looks cohesive, physical, and confident heading into their home matchup with Las Vegas.

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
20 Indianapolis Colts
0.471 17 8 9
29 Las Vegas Raiders
0.176 17 3 14

Indianapolis Colts and Las Vegas Raiders Latest Matches

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
27 :  20
Indianapolis Colts

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
20 :  41
Indianapolis Colts

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
29 :  28
Denver Broncos

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
33 :  8
Miami Dolphins

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
26 :  23
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
45 :  33
Indianapolis Colts
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
29 :  28
Denver Broncos

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
33 :  8
Miami Dolphins

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
26 :  23
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
38 :  30
Tennessee Titans

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
6 :  24
Detroit Lions

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
20 :  30
Buffalo Bills
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
27 :  20
Indianapolis Colts

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
20 :  41
Indianapolis Colts

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
45 :  33
Indianapolis Colts

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Denver Broncos
31 :  13
Indianapolis Colts

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

New England Patriots
24 :  25
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  28
Indianapolis Colts
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders Latest matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
24 :  25
Chicago Bears

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
41 :  24
Las Vegas Raiders

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
9 :  20
Los Angeles Chargers

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
13 :  20
Las Vegas Raiders

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
20 :  34
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  25
Las Vegas Raiders
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
24 :  25
Chicago Bears

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
9 :  20
Los Angeles Chargers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
20 :  34
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 16, 2024 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
9 :  15
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
19 :  29
Denver Broncos

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
20 :  27
Kansas City Chiefs
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
41 :  24
Las Vegas Raiders

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
13 :  20
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  25
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
28 :  13
Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 29, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  17
Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
34 :  19
Las Vegas Raiders

Indianapolis Colts against Las Vegas Raiders : Head to Head (H2H)

Indianapolis Colts

100 %

Las Vegas Raiders

0 %

Dec 31, 2023 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
23 :  20
Las Vegas Raiders

Indianapolis Colts - Las Vegas Raiders Key Points

  1. The Over is 8-1 in the Colts’ last 9 games vs. AFC teams
  2. The Over is 4-0 in the Raiders’ last 4 Week 5 games as underdogs
  3. The Colts are 10-0 in their last 10 games as favorites vs. AFC teams
  4. The Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games as underdogs

Our Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

From a matchup standpoint, the Raiders face a daunting challenge on both ends. Offensively, quarterback Jeanty has shown progress in recent weeks but remains under constant duress due to weak protection up front. The Colts’ defense has been stout against the run, meaning Las Vegas will likely need to rely on its passing game to stay competitive.

That could be a problem given the Raiders’ recent struggles with turnovers and stalled drives. Defensively, the Raiders will need to find a way to contain Daniel Jones, who can hurt teams both through the air and on the ground. Indianapolis’ balance and play-action threat could easily exploit the Raiders’ inconsistent secondary.

Historically, the Colts have dominated this matchup, winning seven of the last ten meetings, including a 23-20 home victory in 2023. The teams have split their last four games in Indianapolis, but all signs point toward another comfortable win for the Colts.

Expect Jones to rebound from last week’s loss with a cleaner performance, while the Colts’ defense frustrates Las Vegas throughout. Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs. Las Vegas Raiders: Over 48.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Over 48.5

-107
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks