Philadelphia Phillies vs Athletics Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 5/5/26, 2:49 PM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 5/10/26 at 11:37 PM in MLB Picks

The Athletics and the Philadelphia Phillies have averaged a combined 10.43 runs per game over their last three meetings. The over for Game 1 of their series on Tuesday has been set at 8.5 runs (-120).

Current Form:

The Athletics avoided a sweep after coming through with a 7-1 win over the Cleveland Guardians in Game 3. The A’s still opened as the underdogs in Game 1 of their new series against the Phillies, but bettors should start treating them seriously because of their 9-2 record in their last 11 games on the road.

Over the last five games, the Athletics have hit .318 with 6.2 runs per game. This offense has allowed them to win 3 out of their last five games despite posting a horrendous 5.60 ERA in this stretch.

The Phillies have won 4 of their last 5 games to improve their record to 15-20. Over this five-game stretch, Philadelphia’s offense has produced 3.9 runs per game while the pitching staff has registered a rock-solid 3.20 ERA.

Starting Pitchers: Athletics RHP Luis Severino (2-2, 4.46 ERA) vs. Phillies LHP Christopher Sanchez (2-2, 2.90 ERA).

The A’s have won in 4 of Severino’s last 5 starts, including back-to-back starts in which he allowed only one run. Severino, however, is 1-2 in his last three starts vs. the Phillies, averaging 3.0 runs over 6.0 innings per start.

After surrendering 12 hits and 6 earned runs in an ugly showing against the Cubs on April 23, Christopher Sanchez gave up two earned runs over 6.2 innings in a 3-2 win over the San Francisco Giants on April 30. Sanchez allowed three runs in his last start against the Athletics in May last year.