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by Carlos Zabala in Major League Soccer Picks
The same New York Red Bulls that won their last two matches by two goals and advanced to the next round of the US Open Cup before that are back to face Atlanta United next week. Bookmakers believe the hosts can win at Red Bull Arena, being favorites at -109, and not draw as they did in their March clash, which ended 0-0.
The match between these teams earlier in the season at Merceden Bex Stadium was an entertaining one that nonetheless saw a goalless draw, but it was Atlanta that had the attacking initiative that time, limiting the NY Red Bulls to a 0.32 xG. Atlanta generated six "big chances," none of which were converted.
The match history between Atlanta United and New York Bulls suggests, with the exception of the last 0-0 draw, that the three previous encounters had over 2.5 goals scored.
Compared to their 2024 season, it's Atlanta that has truly regressed. They played in the conference semifinals last season but are now struggling defensively, having conceded 28 goals in 16 games.
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New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United Fc Form
Table
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
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24 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
12
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17 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -7 |
New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United Fc Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 21, 2025 - US Open Cup
May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 21, 2025 - US Open Cup
May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 6, 2025 - US Open Cup
May 3, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer

2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 3, 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 3, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2025 - Major League Soccer
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Mar 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls against Atlanta United Fc : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Mar 8, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2024 - Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2024 - Major League Soccer
Jun 24, 2023 - Major League Soccer
Apr 1, 2023 - Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2022 - Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United Fc: Form Analysis
The New York Red Bulls hold seventh place in the Eastern Conference, the last playoff berth, scoring 26 goals so far but conceding only 19. They are one game away from repeating their Final Four appearance at the US Open Cup last season. After achieving the biggest win in MLS this season, 7-0, they lost two in a row but got back on track against DC United and Charlotte.
But Atlanta United also have reasons to boast about their good form, because after scoring 4 goals against Cincinnati, one of the best defenses of the moment, they repeated the feat by scoring three goals against Orlando City, coming back from being down on the scoreboard twice, obtaining the three points thanks to a last-minute goal from Thiare.
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Atlanta United Fc v New York Red Bulls last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Missing players

M. Morales
D. Nealis
MidfielderL. Morgan
F. Carballo
ForwardR. Mitchell

J. Cohen
DefenderS. Gregersen
B. Lennon
ForwardT. Muyumba
New York Red Bulls & Atlanta United Fc Squad Analysis
Yamal Thiare, the Senegalese forward, scored two goals in his last two matches and is probably the team's hottest player. Atlanta Utd., however, has a significant injury list for Saturday's match, including Cohen, Gregersen, and Muyumba. However, Miguel Almiron, the well-known Paraguayan, is expected to start.
For the NY Red Bulls, there were many names, especially in midfield, and they are also expected to play against Charlotte, who had an outstanding match. We're referring to Sofo, Bogacz, and Carmona. The first two had goal-scoring matches, but all three performed well. None of them played the full 90 minutes, but Eric Choupo-Moting came on to replace the striker, who scored two goals off the bench.
Most goals and assists






New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United Fc Key Points
- Atlanta Utd reduced the NY Red Bulls to a 0.32 xG in their last match.
- New York Red Bulls had 11 shots in their last match against Charlotte.
- New York Red Bulls' goal difference is +7.
- Atlanta only drew 4 fouls from Orlando in their last match.
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Our New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United Fc Prediction
Despite winning the match, Atlanta's defense looked somewhat weak defensively, or at least when there were two-on-one passes, as Orlando City won 44 duels and cleared the ball 49 times.
This last statistic speaks to the dangerous crosses and passes Atlanta Utd. unleashed with crosses. While the Red Bulls have been particularly sharp in their last three matches, a goal-fest on Saturday that would make the last 0-0 draw between these teams go unnoticed wouldn't be surprising.
Our prediction for Atlanta Utd vs New York Red Bulls is: Over 2.5 goals.
New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United Fc - Other Interesting Picks
New York Red Bulls to win
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