Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Picks - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

ATP - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

ATP 4 Serbia
Novak Djokovic
11/8/25 10:00
ATP 8 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti

Prediction:

 

Novak Djokovic will cover -2.5 Games

-135
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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Novak Djokovic of Serbia will battle Lorenzo Musetti of Italy for the inaugural Hellenic Championship crown on Saturday.

Seeking the final ticket for the ATP Tour Finals, Musetti is listed at +165 ($265 payout for every $100 bet) against the former world’s No.1 and 24-time Grand Slam winner.

Current Form:

Djokovic reached the final in Athens unscathed after sweeping his first three opponents in this tournament. The 38-year-old Djokovic bested Alejandro Tabilo 7-6, 6-1, Nuno Borges 7-6, 6-4, and Yannick Hanfmann 6-3, 6-4. In his recent win over Hanfmann, the Serb held 9 of 10 service games after scoring 28 points behind the first ball. He also scored 18 return points, leading to three breakpoint conversions. Djokovic improved to 3-0 in indoor matches in 2025.

Musetti is one win away from accomplishing his goal of making it into the ATP Tour Finals after outgunning Sebastian Korda 6-0, 5-7, 7-5 in Friday’s semifinal. The Italian fended off Korda’s comeback bid by holding 13 of 15 service games and breaking the American five times in the match. Musetti, 6-2 in his last 8 matches, will need to win this match against Djokovic for him to dislodge Felix Auger-Aliassime from the No.8 slot and qualify for the year-ending ATP finals.

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Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Form

Novak Djokovic and Lorenzo Musetti Latest Matches

Novak Djokovic Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 7, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Yannick Hanfmann

Nov 6, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Nuno Borges

Nov 4, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Alejandro Tabilo

Oct 18, 2025 - Six King Slam

Taylor Fritz
abort
Novak Djokovic

Oct 16, 2025 - Six King Slam

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Novak Djokovic

Oct 11, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Novak Djokovic
0 :  2
Valentin Vacherot
Lorenzo Musetti Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 7, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Sebastian Korda
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Nov 6, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Alexandre Muller
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Nov 5, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Stan Wawrinka
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

Oct 25, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Novak Djokovic against Lorenzo Musetti : Head to Head (H2H)

Novak Djokovic

83 %

Lorenzo Musetti

17 %

Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic

Aug 2, 2024 - Olympic Tournament

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Jul 12, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  3
Novak Djokovic

Jun 1, 2024 - ATP French Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 11, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 13, 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Novak Djokovic
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points

  1. Lorenzo Musetti defeated Sebastian Korda 6-0, 5-7, 7-5 in the semifinal of the 2025 Hellenic Championship.
  2. Lorenzo Musetti is 6-2 in his last 8 matches.
  3. Novak Djokovic defeated Yannick Hanfmann 6-3, 6-4 in the semifinal of the 2025 Hellenic Championship.
  4. Novak Djokovic is 3-0 in indoor play in 2025.
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Our Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Novak Djokovic will grind out a tough win over Lorenzo Musetti 6-3, 6-7, 7-5 to win the Hellenic Championship. It won’t be an easy match since he’s facing a very motivated Musetti. However, with Djokovic raising his level of play as he goes deep into this tourney, it would be foolish to bet against the 24-time Grand Slam winner playing this well despite his advanced age. Musetti is a stud. That’s for sure. But Djokovic will not allow him to ruin his momentum as he prepares for a tougher grind in the upcoming Tour Finals starting next week.

Our betting prediction for Novak Djokovic vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Novak Djokovic -2.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Novak Djokovic will cover -2.5 Games

-135
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Picks