ATP - ATP US Open


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by Lou Aguila in ATP US Open Picks
Novak Djokovic, pegged as a -800 favorite, is in for a rough opening match as he goes up against American teen star Learner Tien in the first round of the 2025 US Open.
Djokovic, a four-time US Open champion, will be playing his first match since losing to Jannik Sinner in the semifinal of the 2025 Wimbledon Open, 6-3 6-3 6-4. At this stage of his career, the 38-year-old Djokovic is no longer as active on the tour as he was during his prime years, often prioritizing Grand Slam events above everything else. Djokovic skipped all the big events in this year’s North American hard-court swing, including the Canadian and Cincinnati Open, to keep his body fresh for the US Open grind.
Meanwhile, Tien has made a strong impression in his first-ever North American hard court campaign. The 19-year-old American did not reach the quarterfinals at any of the three tournaments he competed in over the past four weeks, but he scalped the heads of several prominent players, including Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-2 in Washington, and Denis Shapovalov 7-6(4) 7-5 and Reilly Opelka 7-6(3) 6-3 in Toronto.
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Novak Djokovic vs Learner Tien Form
Novak Djokovic and Learner Tien Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 11, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 9, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 7, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 5, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 10, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 8, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 2, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 31, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 29, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 27, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Novak Djokovic - Learner Tien Key Points
- Novak Djokovic will be playing his first match since the 2025 Wimbledon Open.
- Novak Djokovic is 12-5 on the hard court in 2025.
- Learner Tien reached the fourth round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
- Learner Tien is 4-1 against ATP top-10 players.
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Our Novak Djokovic vs Learner Tien Prediction
At the age of 38, Novak Djokovic is still too strong for everybody outside the Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner duopoly to beat. Djokovic, who is 12-5 in only 17 hardcourt matches this year, hasn’t played on the surface since reaching the final of the 2025 Miami Open, where he lost to Czech teenager Jakub Mensik. On the other hand, Tien has played 26 hard-court matches this year, going 17-9 in these games.
At age 19, Tien has already posted four top-10 wins, including two against players inside the ATP top-5. Djokovic, with his vast experience and superior ability to change strategies mid-match, should take care of his business in the first round, but not before overcoming a feisty challenge from this American player on the rise.
Our betting prediction for Learner Tien vs. Novak Djokovic: Learner Tien +6.5 Games
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