Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Newcastle
5/11/25 07:00
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Jacob Murphy to Score or Assist

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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

One of Sunday's Premier League fixtures sees Newcastle welcome Chelsea to St. James' Park, where the hosts will be hoping to regain the winning thread after tying with Brighton away from home last weekend. The visitors will be looking to extend their current winning run, while they should also be in celebratory mood having qualified for the final of the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday evening. 

Given that their opponents played on Thursday, the hosts have had long to rest and prepare for this fixture and thus should be feeling confident. Eddie Howe's men will also take plenty of confidence from the fact that they've won each of their last five home games in the EPL, scoring eight goals in their last two, without conceding. In contrast, the visitors have only emerged victorious from one of their last nine road games in the league. Can the hosts take advantage? Don't be surprised if they do, especially as they look to lock down their Champions League place for next season. 

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Newcastle vs Chelsea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Newcastle
Newcastle
63 35 19 6 10 21
5
Chelsea
Chelsea
63 35 18 9 8 21

Newcastle and Chelsea Latest Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
W W W L W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Newcastle

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Ipswich Town

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  1
Newcastle

Apr 16, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
5 :  0
Crystal Palace

Apr 13, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 7, 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  3
Newcastle
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Ipswich Town

Apr 16, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
5 :  0
Crystal Palace

Apr 13, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Brentford

Mar 2, 2025 - FA Cup

Newcastle
1 :  2
Brighton

Feb 23, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
Nottingham Forest
L W W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Newcastle

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  1
Newcastle

Apr 7, 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  3
Newcastle

Mar 16, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
1 :  2
Newcastle

Mar 10, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Newcastle
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 8, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Djurgardens IF

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

May 1, 2025 - Conference League

Djurgardens IF
1 :  4
Chelsea

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Chelsea

Apr 17, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Legia Warszawa
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 8, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Djurgardens IF

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

Apr 17, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Legia Warszawa

Apr 13, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Ipswich Town

Apr 3, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Tottenham
W L D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 1, 2025 - Conference League

Djurgardens IF
1 :  4
Chelsea

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Chelsea

Apr 10, 2025 - Conference League

Legia Warszawa
0 :  3
Chelsea

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 16, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 6, 2025 - Conference League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  2
Chelsea

Newcastle against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

33 %

Draw

33 %

Chelsea

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Oct 30, 2024 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

Oct 27, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Newcastle

Mar 11, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Newcastle

Dec 19, 2023 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
1 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 25, 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  1
Chelsea

May 28, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Newcastle

Chelsea v Newcastle last Lineups

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

22
N. Pope
2
K. Trippier
5
F. Schar
33
D. Burn
21
T. Livramento
39
B. Guimaraes
8
S. Tonali
28
J. Willock
23
J. Murphy
14
A. Isak
11
H. Barnes
32
T. George
19
J. Sancho
22
K. Dewsbury-Hall
81
R. Walsh
24
R. James
34
J. Acheampong
3
M. Cucurella
5
B. Badiashile
4
T. Adarabioyo
27
M. Gusto
12
F. Jorgensen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

J. Lascelles

L. Hall

M. Targett

Forward

Joelinton

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

W. Fofana

Forward

O. Kellyman

M. Mudryk

M. Guiu

C. Nkunku

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Sweden A. Isak (26 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (15 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Murphy (12 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina E. Fernandez (12 Assists)

Newcastle and Chelsea Stats in Premier League

Newcastle
Newcastle
Chelsea
Chelsea
54%
Victories
51%
17%
Draw
26%
29%
Defeats
23%
3.17
Total goals per match
2.94
1.89
Goals scored per match
1.77
1.29
Goals conceded per match
1.17
66%
Over 2.5
60%
34%
Under 2.5
40%
54%
BTTS
63%
34%
No goals conceded
26%

Newcastle - Chelsea Key Points

  1. This season in the Premier League, Jacob Murphy is averaging 0.80 goals and assists per 90 minutes.
  2. No player has registered more assists for Newcastle than Jacob Murphy this season.
  3. Only three players in the entire Premier League average more goals and assists per 90 than Jacob Murphy.
  4. Jacob Murphy has scored or assisted in five of his last eight Premier League games.
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Our Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction

In what is clearly a strong Newcastle team, there are several high performers, but few players have excelled as much as Jacob Murphy, who has had the best season of his career, delivering 19 goals and assists in the Premier League. The winger has been in electric form, that's for sure. He comes into this game off the back of scoring and assisting seven times in his last eight appearances. At home to a Chelsea side that played in the week and may be a little fatigued, he looks a great bet to land a telling blow. Our Newcastle vs Chelsea Pick: Jacob Murphy to Score or Assist. 

Prediction:

 

Jacob Murphy to Score or Assist

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Newcastle vs Chelsea Picks
Up to $1500 to bet on Newcastle - Chelsea! 

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