Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Newcastle
11/5/25 15:00
Athletic Bilbao

Prediction:

 

Newcastle United -1.

-125
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 by Carlos Zabala in Champions League Picks

Athletic Club and Newcastle United, two potential underdogs in the Champions League betting odds, will square off at St. James' Park on Wednesday.

The Magpies are enjoying a respectable unbeaten home run, but they were recently defeated by a La Liga team in the Champions League when Newcastle fell to Barcelona in Matchday 1 of the league group stage. Since then, only Arsenal has managed to secure three points at Newcastle's ground, and in the Champions League, they bounced back with a 4-0 victory over Royale Union in Belgium and a 3-0 win against Mourinho's Benfica.

Meanwhile, Athletic Bilbao are struggling; they lost the Basque derby against Real Sociedad at the weekend, 3-2 at the Reale Arena. This defeat, along with other setbacks, has left Athletic languishing in the middle of the Spanish league table. Whereas in the Champions League they looked below the level of the continent's heavyweights when they lost to Arsenal and were thrashed by Dortmund before claiming three points against Qarabag.

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Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
Newcastle
Newcastle
6 3 2 0 1 6
25
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
3 3 1 0 2 -3

Newcastle and Athletic Bilbao Latest Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  1
Newcastle

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Tottenham

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Fulham

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Newcastle

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Tottenham

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Fulham

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Arsenal

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
4 :  1
Bradford City FC
D D D W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  1
Newcastle

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Newcastle

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
0 :  4
Newcastle

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Newcastle
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao Latest matches
L W D W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Oct 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Getafe

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Qarabag FK

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  1
Mallorca

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao
L L D W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Getafe

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Qarabag FK

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  1
Mallorca

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Girona

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Arsenal

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Alavés
W L L L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao
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Athletic Bilbao v Newcastle last Lineups

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
N. Pope
17
E. Krafth
12
M. Thiaw
4
S. Botman
33
D. Burn
39
B. Guimaraes
8
S. Tonali
7
Joelinton
23
J. Murphy
27
N. Woltemade
10
A. Gordon
11
G. Guruzeta
23
R. Navarro
8
O. Sancet
7
A. Berenguer
18
M. Jauregizar
16
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
17
Y. Berchiche
14
A. Laporte
3
D. Vivian
2
A. Gorosabel
1
U. Simon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

T. Livramento

Midfielder

Y. Wissa

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Defender

U. Egiluz

I. Lekue

Midfielder

B. Prados

Forward

I. Williams

M. Sannadi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Athletic Bilbao
Top Goalscorer
Germany N. Woltemade (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain G. Guruzeta (4 Goals)
Best assists
Italy S. Tonali (3 Assists)
England J. Murphy (3 Assists)
Brazil B. Guimaraes (3 Assists)
Best assists
Spain M. Jauregizar (2 Assists)
Spain N. Williams (2 Assists)

Newcastle and Athletic Bilbao Stats in Champions League

Newcastle
Newcastle
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
67%
Victories
33%
0%
Draw
0%
33%
Defeats
67%
3.33
Total goals per match
3.67
2.67
Goals scored per match
1.33
0.67
Goals conceded per match
2.33
100%
Over 2.5
67%
0%
Under 2.5
33%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
No goals conceded
0%

Newcastle - Athletic Bilbao Key Points

  1. Inter completed 88% of their attempted passes against Verona
  2. Inter had 16 free kicks in the match against Verona
  3. Inter have not drawn a single match this season
  4. Kairat Almaty had 17 shots in the last league match
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Our Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Newcastle have not only shown their best form at home but have also developed the useful habit of scoring frequently in both halves. Interestingly, a draw seems unlikely, as Newcastle have never drawn in their 14 Champions League home matches.

Meanwhile, Athletic's evident difficulty in taking the lead this year is costing them the season; they didn't even take the lead in their 3-1 victory against Qarabag. Furthermore, you have to go back to May to find the last time Athletic won away from home.

Our prediction for Newcastle United vs Athletic Club is: Newcastle United -1.

Prediction:

 

Newcastle United -1.

-125
$300+ offered for betting!

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Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao Picks