Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Newcastle
1/25/26 09:00
Aston Villa

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals

+118
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 by Simon Day | in Premier League Picks

Third place Aston Villa will be looking to bounce back from last weekend's disappointing 0-1 home loss to Everton, when they face Newcastle at St James' Park on Sunday afternoon. 

After putting together an incredible 11 game winning run at the end of 2025, Villa have been slightly below their best over the last month. However, they still have an eight point cushion over the teams chasing them for a spot in next season's Champions League, so barring a dramatic drop off in form, Unai Emery's side look set for a return to Europe's top table. 

Newcastle's drab 0-0 draw at Wolves last weekend ended a three game winning run, but still kept them in touch with the top four. As usual, the Toon's home form has been central to their success, and it has now been almost four months since they lost a Premier League fixture at St James' Park.

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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Aston Villa
65 38 19 8 11 +7
12 Newcastle
49 38 14 7 17 -2

Newcastle and Aston Villa Latest Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
W W D L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
PSV Eindhoven

Jan 18, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  0
Newcastle

Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
0 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
3 :  3
Bournemouth

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
Leeds

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Crystal Palace
D W W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
PSV Eindhoven

Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
0 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
3 :  3
Bournemouth

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
Leeds

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Crystal Palace

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Chelsea
W D L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  3
Newcastle

Dec 26, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  2
Newcastle

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  4
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
L W D W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  1
Aston Villa

Jan 18, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Everton

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Tottenham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Aston Villa

Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Aston Villa
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Everton

Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Dec 21, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Arsenal

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Wolves

Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
BSC Young Boys
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  1
Aston Villa

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Tottenham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Aston Villa

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Aston Villa

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  3
Aston Villa

Newcastle against Aston Villa : Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

50 %

Draw

17 %

Aston Villa

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Newcastle

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  1
Newcastle

Dec 26, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Aston Villa

Jan 30, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle

Aug 12, 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
5 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 15, 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  0
Newcastle

Newcastle against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
N. Pope
2
K. Trippier
12
M. Thiaw
4
S. Botman
3
L. Hall
67
L. Miley
8
S. Tonali
7
Joelinton
11
H. Barnes
9
Y. Wissa
10
A. Gordon
11
O. Watkins
10
E. Buendia
27
M. Rogers
19
J. Sancho
8
Y. Tielemans
24
A. Onana
22
I. Maatsen
14
P. Torres
4
E. Konsa
2
M. Cash
23
E. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Aston Villa

Substitutes

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

A. Ramsdale

Defender

A. Murphy

D. Burn

L. Shahar

Midfielder

J. Willock

S. Tonali 84'

J. Ramsey

Joelinton 48'

Forward

N. Woltemade

Y. Wissa 62'

A. Elanga

A. Gordon 63'

W. Osula

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

M. Bizot

Defender

L. Digne

E. Buendia 74'

V. Lindelof

A. Onana 89'

T. Mings

P. Torres 74'

Midfielder

G. Hemmings

L. Bogarde

Y. Tielemans 75'

H. Elliott

Forward

L. Bailey

J. Sancho 59'

E. Guessand

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

F. Schar

E. Krafth

Midfielder

J. Murphy

B. Guimaraes

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Midfielder

J. McGinn

B. Kamara

Forward

Alysson

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
Brazil B. Guimaraes (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (16 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil B. Guimaraes (5 Assists)
Best assists
France L. Digne (6 Assists)
England M. Rogers (6 Assists)

Newcastle - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. Newcastle have kept clean sheets in their last 2 games
  2. 3 of Villa's last 4 games have produced under 2.5 goals
  3. Villa have failed to score in their last 2 Premier League matches
  4. 4 of Newcastle's last 8 games have produced under 2.5 goals
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Our Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction

Newcastle will view this as a must-win game, but despite Villa's recent drop off in form, they are still a very tough side to beat. 

The main reason for Villa's downturn has been a lack of potency from their forward players. As such, we think this will be a low scoring contest, with both defences having the upper hand. 

The majority of recent games involving Villa or Newcastle have featured under 2.5 goals, and that is exactly what we are expecting on Sunday. 

Our prediction for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa is: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals

+118
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Picks