Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Miami Marlins
4/2/25 16:40
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

Total Under 8.5 Runs

−185
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets clash in Wednesday’s rubber-match at loanDepot Park.

After allowing four homers in a 4-10 loss in Game 1, the Marlins evened the series with a terrific defensive showing in Game 2. Sandy Alcantara nabbed his first win since 2023 after conceding two earned runs over five innings in a 4-2 victory. Marlins sluggers Kyle Stowers put Miami ahead early with a two-run blast in the first inning while Graham Pauley added two more runs to the tally with a run-driving double in the fourth inning.

The Mets went 5 for 32 at the plate in Game 2 with Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor driving the two runs for New York. After 6 games, the Mets ranks at No.25 in batting average (.185), 17th in on base percentage (.297) and 21st in slugging percentage (.363).

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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79
19 Miami Marlins
0.488 162 79 83

Miami Marlins and New York Mets Latest Matches

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 28, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  8
Miami Marlins

Sep 19, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  20
Los Angeles Dodgers
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 19, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  20
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 18, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 28, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  8
Miami Marlins

Sep 14, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  1
Miami Marlins

Sep 13, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  1
Miami Marlins

Sep 10, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  4
Miami Marlins

Sep 9, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Miami Marlins

Aug 31, 2024 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  4
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 29, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
New York Mets

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  3
New York Mets

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
New York Mets

Oct 20, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
10 :  5
New York Mets
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 18, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  6
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 17, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  10
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 16, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 9, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Oct 8, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 22, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 29, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
New York Mets

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  3
New York Mets

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
New York Mets

Oct 20, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
10 :  5
New York Mets

Miami Marlins against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Marlins

33 %

New York Mets

67 %

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  10
New York Mets

Aug 17, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  0
Miami Marlins

Jul 22, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 21, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 20, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  1
New York Mets
Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Picks

Miami Marlins - New York Mets Key Points

  1. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Mets.
  2. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games played in April.
  3. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games.
  4. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 6 games on the road.

Our Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction

The weather forecast predicts 14-mph winds blowing toward southwestward of loanDepot Park. Connor Gillispie (5.40 ERA in his last 5 starts) and Clay Holmes (6.85 ERA in his last 5 starts) aren’t exactly the type of pitchers who exude dominance from the mound, but they are serviceable enough to keep the other team from scoring a lot of runs. Given the playing conditions in Game 3, I expect a low-scoring ball game with so many foul balls and blown chances. By the way, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games and 2 of Miami’s last 3 games. Our betting prediction for the Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: Total Under 8.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

Total Under 8.5 Runs

−185
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