Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Miami Marlins
4/2/25 16:40
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

Total Under 8.5 Runs

-185
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets clash in Wednesday’s rubber-match at loanDepot Park.

After allowing four homers in a 4-10 loss in Game 1, the Marlins evened the series with a terrific defensive showing in Game 2. Sandy Alcantara nabbed his first win since 2023 after conceding two earned runs over five innings in a 4-2 victory. Marlins sluggers Kyle Stowers put Miami ahead early with a two-run blast in the first inning while Graham Pauley added two more runs to the tally with a run-driving double in the fourth inning.

The Mets went 5 for 32 at the plate in Game 2 with Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor driving the two runs for New York. After 6 games, the Mets ranks at No.25 in batting average (.185), 17th in on base percentage (.297) and 21st in slugging percentage (.363).

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79
19 Miami Marlins
0.488 162 79 83

Miami Marlins and New York Mets Latest Matches

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 28, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  8
Miami Marlins

Sep 19, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  20
Los Angeles Dodgers
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 19, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  20
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 18, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 28, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  8
Miami Marlins

Sep 14, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  1
Miami Marlins

Sep 13, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  1
Miami Marlins

Sep 10, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  4
Miami Marlins

Sep 9, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Miami Marlins

Aug 31, 2024 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  4
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 29, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
New York Mets

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  3
New York Mets

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
New York Mets

Oct 20, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
10 :  5
New York Mets
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 18, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  6
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 17, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  10
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 16, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 9, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Oct 8, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 22, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 29, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
New York Mets

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  3
New York Mets

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
New York Mets

Oct 20, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
10 :  5
New York Mets

Miami Marlins against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Marlins

33 %

New York Mets

67 %

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  10
New York Mets

Aug 17, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  0
Miami Marlins

Jul 22, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 21, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 20, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  1
New York Mets

Miami Marlins - New York Mets Key Points

  1. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Mets.
  2. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games played in April.
  3. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games.
  4. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 6 games on the road.

Our Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction

The weather forecast predicts 14-mph winds blowing toward southwestward of loanDepot Park. Connor Gillispie (5.40 ERA in his last 5 starts) and Clay Holmes (6.85 ERA in his last 5 starts) aren’t exactly the type of pitchers who exude dominance from the mound, but they are serviceable enough to keep the other team from scoring a lot of runs. Given the playing conditions in Game 3, I expect a low-scoring ball game with so many foul balls and blown chances. By the way, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games and 2 of Miami’s last 3 games. Our betting prediction for the Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: Total Under 8.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

Total Under 8.5 Runs

-185
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Picks