New Zealand vs Canada Prediction & Picks - Women's Rugby World Cup

World - Women's Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
9/19/25 14:00
Canada

Prediction:

 

New Zealand wins

-120
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 by Tyler Doty | in Women's Rugby World Cup Picks

This Friday, the Women's Rugby World Cup will feature a highly anticipated semifinal between Canada and New Zealand. Ranked second in the world, the Canadians are approaching this match with confidence bolstered by a remarkable run. In four games, they have scored 193 points and conceded only 31, demonstrating their mastery on both offense and defense. Their quarterfinal against Australia turned into a demonstration (46-5), confirming their status as credible contenders. For this crucial match, the coaching staff has chosen to field the same starting XV. Recent history also favors them: they beat New Zealand for the first time in their history in Christchurch (22-19) less than two years ago, before sharing the points in a spectacular 27-27 draw four months ago. This is Canada's sixth World Cup semifinal, having only reached the final once before, in 2014, when they lost to England.

Opposite them, the Black Ferns bring the experience and aura of reigning double world champions. Ranked third in the world, they qualified for the final four by dominating South Africa (46-17). However, they were held to a 10-10 draw in the first half, before blowing the game wide open with three tries in the first seven minutes of the second half. True to their reputation, they remain capable of accelerating brutally to kill off a game. 

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New Zealand vs Canada Form

New Zealand and Canada Latest Matches

New Zealand
New Zealand Latest matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 13, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
46 :  17
South Africa

Sep 7, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
40 :  0
Republic of Ireland

Aug 31, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
62 :  19
Japan

Aug 24, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
54 :  8
Spain

May 23, 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women

New Zealand
79 :  14
USA

May 17, 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women

New Zealand
27 :  27
Canada
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 13, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
46 :  17
South Africa

Sep 7, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
40 :  0
Republic of Ireland

Aug 31, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
62 :  19
Japan

Aug 24, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
54 :  8
Spain

May 23, 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women

New Zealand
79 :  14
USA

May 17, 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women

New Zealand
27 :  27
Canada
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Draw

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

May 10, 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women

Australia
12 :  38
New Zealand
Canada
Canada Latest matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 13, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

Canada
46 :  5
Australia

Sep 6, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

Canada
40 :  19
Scotland

Aug 30, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

Canada
42 :  0
Wales

Aug 23, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

Canada
65 :  7
Fiji

May 23, 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women

Australia
7 :  45
Canada

May 17, 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women

New Zealand
27 :  27
Canada
W L W W W W
Victories

4/4 (100%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Defeats

0/4 (0%)

Sep 13, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

Canada
46 :  5
Australia

Sep 6, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

Canada
40 :  19
Scotland

Aug 30, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

Canada
42 :  0
Wales

Aug 23, 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup

Canada
65 :  7
Fiji
W D W
Victories

2/3 (67%)

Draw

1/3 (33%)

Defeats

0/3 (0%)

May 23, 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women

Australia
7 :  45
Canada

May 17, 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women

New Zealand
27 :  27
Canada

May 3, 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women

USA
14 :  26
Canada

New Zealand against Canada : Head to Head (H2H)

May 17, 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women

New Zealand
27 :  27
Canada

New Zealand - Canada Key Points

  1. New Zealand and Canada have been undefeated since October 2024.
  2. In seven head to heads, New Zealand has won five times, with one draw and one Canadian victory.
  3. Their only World Cup matchup was in 2017, with New Zealand winning 5-48.
  4. New Zealand is the two-time defending World Champion.
Up to $150 to bet on New Zealand - Canada! 

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Our New Zealand vs Canada Prediction

Who will join England or France in the final? Reigning world champions New Zealand are favorites in what looks like a closely contested match, but Canada appear to have every chance of winning. With more experience at this stage of the competition, the New Zealanders could well reach another final.

Our prediction for New Zealand vs Canada: New Zealand victory.

Prediction:

 

New Zealand wins

-120
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New Zealand vs Canada Picks